READER COMMENTS ON
"Veto Needed for 'Instant Runoff Voting' in Hawaii"
(37 Responses so far...)
COMMENT #1 [Permalink]
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CambridgeKnitter
said on 4/17/2011 @ 10:21 pm PT...
Setting aside the question of whether IRV is a good idea, I feel the need to correct some factual errors here.
First of all, IRV is not proportional representation, and proportional representation is not IRV. IRV elects one person to fill one office, while proportional representation elects more than one person to fill more than one office. In Cambridge we have been using proportional representation, which is significantly more complicated to count than IRV, for many decades and managed to do it quite nicely by hand in public (democracy's Gold Standard) for most of that time.
IRV is not complicated and does not require computers to tabulate. The basic idea is that you rank as many candidates as you wish in order of preference. The votes are counted by first tallying the number of number one votes for each candidate. If no candidate has more than half of all of the votes in number one votes, the candidate with the fewest number one votes is eliminated and those ballots are transferred to whoever is named number two on them. If only one candidate is named on any of those ballots, then that ballot is exhausted and does not count further. The elimination of candidates with the fewest votes and the transfer of their ballots to the next candidate named on them continues until someone gets enough votes to win. As I said, it's not complicated; a second- or third-grader could grasp the concept.
Proportional representation, on the other hand, is somewhat more complicated, especially since there are various possible ways to deal with transferring votes. I could explain the method we use in Cambridge should anyone care to hear about it, but it's not really relevant to a discussion of IRV.
It's quite reasonable to have a discussion of whether IRV is a good idea; it has both good and bad aspects, and reasonable people can differ on whether the good outweighs the bad. But it is ridiculous, in my opinion, to suggest that counting is complicated. It is true that counting cannot happen anywhere but centrally because whether a candidate is eliminated and his/her votes transferred to someone else depends on all of the ballots, not a subset of them, but the counting can easily happen in public, and hand-marked ballots are the preferred way to go.
COMMENT #2 [Permalink]
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Brad Friedman
said on 4/17/2011 @ 10:33 pm PT...
I don't mean to hit-and-run comment here, CK, just short on time for the moment.
But if you don't believe IRV counting is complicated, I might suggest you speak to some of the candidates who've run in IRV elections, such as Marilyn Marks in Aspen, CO where months after the election she was still unable to figure out how they had come to the math that they did. (I believe Aspen did away with IRV thereafter, if I recall, but I'd have to check.)
I've spoken to other candidates who similarly when unable to understand how their elections were tabulated and if they were correctly tabulated or not.
Other IRV elections were only found later to have been mistabulated.
As I've said many times, we have enough problem adding 1 plus 1 plus 1 in this country when it comes to elections. Adding the complicated algebra of IRV is simply insane. And, I should add, I used to be an IRV supporter until I learned more about both it and the disastrous way we already count (or try to) our regular plurality elections in this country!
BTW, while I believe IRV is insane, I feel less so about Approval Voting, if one is looking for an alternative to plurality elections which offer many of the purported benefits of IRV, without the insane voting and need for centralized (and computerized) counting.
COMMENT #3 [Permalink]
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R. Mercuri
said on 4/17/2011 @ 10:54 pm PT...
I didn't say that IRV was proportional representation, rather, I specifically said that there are other locations using VARIATIONS known as "ranked choice" or "proportional representation." The confusion may be due to overzealous editing (by Brad!) of punctuation around "in variations" (the commas of which were not in my original document).
{ED NOTE: Not entirely sure how those commas change the meaning of that sentence, but have removed them nonetheless as requested. Apologies for any confusion I inadvertently caused there! - BF}
As well, I did not say that computers necessarily HAVE to be used to tabulate IRV, but the fact is that they are and will be increasingly used for this purpose because of the complexity of the calculations. Another problem of IRV in this regard is that it also encourages central tabulation, which is adverse to spot-check (precinct) auditing.
It is not a coincidence that some of those who were intent upon having votes tabulated in secret, and whose efforts in that regard were thwarted with the push-back away from DREs, are now very happy to support alternative balloting methods, such as IRV, that essentially ensure that hand-tabulation will not likely occur. It is also interesting to note that of various alternative methods, IRV is (according to some studies) not the best, but unfortunately it is the one gaining a foothold.
COMMENT #4 [Permalink]
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Luddish
said on 4/17/2011 @ 11:13 pm PT...
Well,
It may be the case that the Hawaii “IRV” bill is best vetoed, I don't know. But I don't see the need to throw the whole idea of “IRV” under the bus, and this article does nothing to convince me that “IRV” is really a bad idea. It has nothing to grab onto here, only infammatory innuendo and suggestion. It doesn't seem to be up to the standards that BradBlog readers have come to expect.
First, although the acronym “IRV” clearly stands for Instant Runoff Voting, the underlying implication of the acronym is not well defined, as there have been several proposed and instigated IRV methods that have fundamental distinctions. It's hard to understand exactly what the article is railing against. For example, does the Hawaii bill state that recounts are not allowed, does the author assume that all forms of IRV preclude recounts, or is there something in the Hawaii method that would discourage recounts that could be changed?
Second, the two links in the article do not support the article's argument. The BradBlog article is hardly an open-and-shut dismissal of “IRV.” The main contention there is that we shouldn't be complicating the voting process when there is so much to fix vis a vis the computerized systems that have been hoisted on us. The second link at the bottom of the article is an utterly worthless hit piece on “IRV” full of fallacy and misleading arguments, that even sounds like it was written by an industry shill. Really takes away from the author's credibility.
There are some very positive aspects of some forms of IRV that I believe are very supportive of democratically driven elections, and if the bugs could be worked out, I think it could provide a government that is much more representative of the people who are choosing it, at least when it is of the Ranked Choice variety, rather than the “toss the losing ballots” variety. Problems with those complicated computerized election systems could be fixed simply by abolishing their use. Yay!
Ballot counting would be more difficult, yes, but is that a good argument against it? That's similar to the argument for letting computers do the work in the first place. There is a lot of effort and complication saved in eliminating a runofff, that overall I believe is worth the trouble.
1. Voters get to voice a preference regarding all the candidates, rather than just one in the primary, then maybe one in a runoff. This allows their true preference to come out, rather than a vote for “the one who has a chance to win.” We get to have our cake and eat it too.
2. It eliminates the horrible record of low voter turnouts for runoffs, when the leaders are actually chosen.
3. It reduces the high stakes of a runoff, where power brokers and influence peddlers know the stakes are high and their investments are likely to pay higher returns, which is magnified by the low voter turnout.
4. It reduces the chance of “tactical voting” which is especially troublesome with open runoffs in the party system, and I believe is antidemocratic.
5. It reduces overall costs to run an election. Wha?! but that link clearly shows San Francisco spending more money for their “IRV” than before! How about amortizing costs of capital? How about accounting for all the politicking that sucked millions out of the productive economy, and convinced so many people to keep wearing out their shoes on the campaign for several more months? How about the cost to society of having potentially productive citizens spending their careers in political gamesmanship? How about subtracting out the wasted cost of the worthless computerized systems in the first place?
6. It reduces the chance that we get another of these polarized runoffs where the choice has to be of two extremes that produce a radical difference in trajectory of our government, where it's so easy to demonize the competition.
My jurisdiction recently chose an executive using ranked choice, and I was pretty happy with the result. My third choice won, After a candidate I did not rank was in the lead in the first round. I was able to indulge myself with a first choice vote of the person who I thought was the best candidate for the job, but would not likely win. If we had the runoff system, I would probably have voted for someone else altogether, and we would likely have as our current executive the power broker who led after the first round. I am happy with the result, although I am dismayed that I had to vote absentee to ensure a paper record of my vote was used to record my ballot.
If we have to argue that elections must be reduced to choosing between “yes” and “no,” “0” or “1” or “Candidate A” or “Candidate B” for the populace to fully participate – we're in trouble.
COMMENT #5 [Permalink]
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art guerrilla
said on 4/18/2011 @ 4:59 am PT...
1. my wing is in a sling, and typing with one paw is more annoying than i thought, so briefly:
2. that it is 'hard' to count IRV elections is silly: NONE of the problems we have on this planet are really that 'hard', or unsolvable, they are ALL intractable BECAUSE the rich and powerful rig the game to their advantage... true here, too...
3. under our present korporatocracy, ANY/ALL voting systems are essentially IRRELEVANT, given that THE WHOLE SYSTEM is working for the rich, and against us li'l peeps...
WHAT difference is there if Korporate-Funded candidate Brand "D" is elected over Korporate-Funded candidate Brand "R", with all the votes counted absolutely perfectly ? ? ?
we still lose...
4. we are mired in a chicken/egg conundrum: our voting system (and gummint) is not going to be fixed until we get 'good' people (eg non-millionaires/elites) in office who will work to fix it, but we are NEVER going to get 'good' people under the present regime... (regardless of whether the votes are counted accurately...)
time to walk like an Egyptian (only better armed)...
art guerrilla
aka ann archy
artguerrilla@windstream.net
COMMENT #6 [Permalink]
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Imhotep II
said on 4/18/2011 @ 5:23 am PT...
Having personally experienced IRV voting I support this method of democracy in action.
I also witnessed the gnashing of teeth by establishment candidates desperately trying to game the system and failing to do so.... only to see them work hard and manage to eventually repeal IRV.
If one can hand count the vote the fact that everyone votes for their first, second and third choices lets everyone know who the most popular choice is.
Math is a hard but verifiable science.
As long as there are paper ballots I believe IRV can be fairly executed.... Putting aside corrupt voting officials, which is a given for any system.
COMMENT #7 [Permalink]
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Imhotep II
said on 4/18/2011 @ 5:26 am PT...
But also like the idea of Approval Voting.
COMMENT #8 [Permalink]
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Dredd
said on 4/18/2011 @ 7:57 am PT...
What are the ramifications of becoming a nation where the obvious is our wisdom?
COMMENT #9 [Permalink]
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Joyce McCloy
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:17 am PT...
IRV is so complex to tally that it incentivizes computerized vote tallying where it hadn't been used before.
Example: Scotland gave up hand counting votes the IRV elections in May 2007. Of course the machines malfunctioned and left the results in doubt. The first IRV election was described as "Not so much an election as a National humiliation." (There were 100,000 spoiled ballots, mostly in the poorer areas)
IRV is not transparent.
Voters have to rely on people instead of an open process. From Voting Matters Blog:
The counting of IRV is complex — the elimination of some candidates at the end of the first round means that second choice votes are transferred to other candidates. If a third round is required the elimination and transfer process continues. The average voter has to place great trust in the reliability of the counting algorithm in a way far beyond what is necessary in plurality voting. So the counting is opaque and non-transparent — a kind of voting voodoo with election officials in the role of witch doctor producing the magical results. If one believes strongly that the average voter should be able to understand and observe the counting of votes in a democracy, then IRV fails to meet this standard.
COMMENT #10 [Permalink]
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Joyce McCloy
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:19 am PT...
I'm sorry, I left off the explanation as to WHY IRV, unlike any other election method, is so hard to tally transparently:
IRV is not additive. There is no such thing as a "subtotal" in IRV. In IRV every single vote may have to be sent individually to the central agency (1,000,000·N numbers, i.e. 1000 times more communication). [Actually there are clever ways to reduce this, but it is still bad.] If the central agency then computes the winner, and then some location sends a correction, that may require redoing almost the whole computation over again. There could easily be 100 such corrections and so you'd have to redo everything 100 times. Combine this scenario with a near-tie and legal and extra-legal battle like in Bush-Gore Florida 2000 over the validity of every vote, and this adds up to a complete nightmare for the election administrators.
The complexity of counting IRV ballots leads to great logistical problems and time-delays as in San Francisco . IRV counting cannot be started until after all absentee and provisional ballots are judged eligible and are ready to count because any mistake in the first counting round requires that the counting process must be begun all over again. (Imagine recounts of each IRV round in a Minnesota-like recount!)
COMMENT #11 [Permalink]
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Joyce McCloy
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:30 am PT...
We had a statewide IRV election for NC Court of Appeals in North Carolina in Nov 2010. The loser had 100,000 more votes than the winner.
Cessie Thigpen lost even though he still had the most votes by nearly 100,000:
Total votes cast (1, 2 and 3rd)
718,042 for Thigpen
618,431 for McCullough
MCCullough (the "winner")
1st choice 295,619
2nd choice 157,310
3rd choice 165,802
Thigpen (the "loser")
1st choice 395,220
2nd choice 162,795
3rd choice 160,027
It took seven weeks to get the results of the election.
An excel spreadsheet was used to tally the results - a process that the Chairman of the State Board of Elections warned was risky: Chairman Larry Leake is against.
"I'm a lot leary about it," Leake said. "The computer experts acknowledge there are potential problems with the system."
COMMENT #12 [Permalink]
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Brad Friedman
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:31 am PT...
Dredd @ 8:
If you have links to your blog that are pertinent to the discussion at hand, feel free to link. But please do not hijack the comments section of this site for the sole purpose of driving traffic to your blog. It's disrespectful to the conversation and to the readers and will lead to moderation and/or banning if it continues.
Thank you for respecting that request.
COMMENT #13 [Permalink]
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SteveM
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:31 am PT...
IRV means death to our corrupt two party system. So it's no big surprise that a Democratic party operative like Brad hates the idea!
COMMENT #14 [Permalink]
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SteveM
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:33 am PT...
Not only can the least favorite candidate be elected with this method, but it will be completely non-obvious why this has happened when indeed it does occur.
The least favorite candidate cannot be elected under IRV, and its operation is easily understood by anyone with an IQ over 90.
COMMENT #15 [Permalink]
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Ernest A. Canning
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:37 am PT...
SteveM: Do you have a source to support your allegation that Brad Friedman is a "Democratic party operative," or did you just pull that one out of your rear end?
COMMENT #16 [Permalink]
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SteveM
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:40 am PT...
The complexity of counting IRV ballots leads to great logistical problems and time-delays as in San Francisco . IRV counting cannot be started until after all absentee and provisional ballots are judged eligible and are ready to count because any mistake in the first counting round requires that the counting process must be begun all over again. (Imagine recounts of each IRV round in a Minnesota-like recount!)
That's not a problem, as long as you're willing to jettison the silly idea that the outcome of an election must be known without 24 hours at the most.
The current non-IRV system all but mandates that we have two and only two parties. I'll happily wait a few days for the results of elections to become known in return for killing the Republicrat monopoly on power.
COMMENT #17 [Permalink]
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SteveM
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:50 am PT...
We had a statewide IRV election for NC Court of Appeals in North Carolina in Nov 2010. The loser had 100,000 more votes than the winner.
That sounds like a damning indictment of the ability of the people in NC to understand that one number is larger than another and suggests that some remedial arithmetic is in order. But it says nothing about IRV.
COMMENT #18 [Permalink]
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dael
said on 4/18/2011 @ 9:01 am PT...
COMMENT #19 [Permalink]
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CambridgeKnitter
said on 4/18/2011 @ 9:09 am PT...
OK, I'll wade back in. I read the bill. It sets up a system just like what I described. There is no complicated math to this system, and it is absolutely countable by hand in public. If there are lots of voters involved, it would be unwieldy, but that is not the same thing as being complicated.
First, you get a big room and lots of tables and people, both counters and observers. In Cambridge, until we switched to computers (which I didn't support then and don't support now), it was a huge gathering of political junkies that usually lasted two weeks because we use proportional representation to elect nine city councillors and six school committee members, and that is much more complicated and time-consuming than IRV (you can see years' worth of actual data at www.rwinters.com/elections/index.html).
It is true that you cannot do meaningful counts at the precincts, because IRV depends on the interaction of all of the ballots, although there is no theoretical reason you couldn't count the number ones before the ballots are moved, and you should obviously make sure the number of ballots matches the number of voters and reconcile the number of unused ballots to make sure there aren't any stray ballots unaccounted for.
To count, you put the ballots in piles sorted by first choice, then you count how many first choices each candidate has. If someone has more than half the votes, that person wins. If not, you take the piles representing first choice votes for the candidate with the fewest first choices and put them on the piles for the candidate ranked second on each one. Count again. If someone has now reached more than half the votes, you're done. If not, repeat. Any ballot that has no further names to redistribute votes to is set aside as exhausted.
One of the huge drawbacks of this system is that it becomes unwieldy because you can't do counts of subsets past the first round and add them up the way you can with first-past-the-post voting. This system only matters if you have more than two choices, so it wouldn't be used in referenda (yes or no being the only possibilities) or in races with only two candidates.
IRV is only one of the possible ways of conducting an election in which voters rank their choices one way or another. For example, one in which points are assigned based on rankings and then added up could be counted at the precinct because each ballot counts one and only one way, unlike IRV. I don't know how it could be that you wouldn't be able to figure out who won an IRV election as long as you have paper that you can put in piles and count, but apparently some election clerks are more creative than I am.
COMMENT #20 [Permalink]
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Chris Telesca
said on 4/18/2011 @ 9:21 am PT...
Having now personally experienced IRV voting once and the counting twice I am glad our state's Election Director said this was the last time we'd see IRV.
IRV was seen as an way to do an election and runoff at one time and do it on the cheap. It didn't work out that way, but the verified voting community knew it from the start here in NC. Back in 2004 after we had a Florida-style election meltdown, we decided to have a legislative task force hold hearings over a few months to make recommendations on how to fix our elections. IRV was suggested, but then dumped as part of the recommendations when it was realized that you can't really have election integrity and verified voting if you make the casting and counting of votes so complex that you can't do it in one easy task. Not being able to count the rankings at the place the ballots are cast in the same way you can count the 1st column votes started it off - but also realizing that there was (and still is) no federally tested and certified election system that can handle IRV. Meaning unless you want to do it ALL BY HAND, you have to use some sort of jury-rigged software patch that has not been fully tested,
Don Frantz was our state's 1st and only elected public official who was elected using IRV. Even he knew it was bogus. He knows he was not elected by a 50% plus one majority - only by a slightly larger plurality vote. He also knew that in a real runoff election, the lowest vote getter would have most likely endorsed the other top-two candidate - who would have won a real runoff vote. Don's a great guy, and since getting elected in 2007 he's stood up for election integrity and opposed IRV even though it's the election method that put him in his current seat.
Now let's look at the judicial IRV races. Of the four races (three county superior court and one statewide Court of Appeals), two went to the IRV - one county race that was in a 100% DRE touchscreen county, and the statewide race with about 40% of the vote cast on touchscreens. The NC GOP already went to court in 2010 saying that the touchscreens weren't calibrated properly. But the thing I worry the most about is the jury-rigged method of counting the 2nd and 3rd column votes that was used.
State law says that only federally certified election systems may be used - either votes totally counted on the op-scan machines or touchscreens with reports that are sent into the ES&S Unity software system. Since neither the op-scan or DRE machines or the Unity system is certified to do IRV, that means that the only other certified method to county IRV was hand counting.
So in all the counties with op-scan paper ballots were used, all those ballots had to be counted by hand. But the counting procedure varied by county, so we can't really be sure of the accuracy of the vote count in those counties. But in the DRE counties, they should have also counted all those races by the same sort-stack and tally method used in op-scan counties. But they could not because the election directors in those counties refused to cut up all those 300 foot long paper trails to sort-stack and tally with 2 foot-long thermal paper tapes! They said it would be too costly and that there was no method the SBOE had developed to do that for such a large number of ballots. So they asked to use an uncertified method developed by the State Board of Elections that ran an algorithm on a MS Excel spreadsheet program. Sure - many of us use Excel for daily work, but I asked a retired chemistry professor whether or not he would use Excel or some other certified statistical application to crunch his numbers. He said that in his work that had to be submitted for peer review, they'd laugh him out of the building for using MS Excel. And for work he needed to submit for grants or other purposes to the government, MS Excel was too buggy to be any good. So I don't think it's good enough for our vote counting, do you?
And then on top of everything else, both of the two IRV elections that went to the 2nd and 3rd column votes to determine the winner had a very weird outcome. In all the other IRV races, the person who comes in first with just the 1st column votes goes onto win the race with the 2nd and 3rd column votes over 90% of the time. In traditional runoffs, the 2nd place finisher flips about 33% of the time. Both of NC's IRV judicial races flipped - 100%! I can't say it was solely because of the use of the undertested and uncertified workaround, or the fact that this was dumped on us with only two months to prepare (after doing nothing since the bill was passed back in 2006). In NC and many other places, IRV is an unfunded mandate because legislators and election officials were lied to when they were told that IRV always saved money.
The casting of IRV ballots is confusing to voters in my precinct and elsewhere in the state. One old gent told me it was easier to pick the winners in a trifecta race than to vote the IRV ballot. Then the counting of the votes was also complex - too complex to be carried on the exact same way in every county in our state. Our voters didn't like it, the governor didn't like it, legislators in both parties didn't like it, and election officials didn't like it. So why should we all hold our noses to do IRV anymore?
Of course the failure of IRV supporters like FairyTaleVote and others to show that IRV doesn't work as advertised or even to show people in Hawaii that some folks tried IRV and didn't like it is not a surprise to me at all.
COMMENT #21 [Permalink]
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Chris Telesca
said on 4/18/2011 @ 9:28 am PT...
In NC, voters who voted for ANYONE other than the top two were effectively shut out of the contest. The clear advantage of a traditional runoff election is that you only have two choices. And the other candidates who didn't make it can endorse one of the other two candidates for their supporters from the first race. So with a 13 candidate IRV race, there is a very good chance that many people cast all three votes for candidates OTHER than Thigpen and McCullough - so other than their first round vote being counted to determine the top two, none of their other two votes were counted at all. It strikes me as very sad that we are trying to increase turnout to increase citizen participation and we have folks resorting to trickery like IRV to tell people that it increases their participation when clearly it does the opposite. If you only count one of my 3 votes when none of them were for a winner - you've shut me out of the race entirely!
COMMENT #22 [Permalink]
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Ernest A. Canning
said on 4/18/2011 @ 9:31 am PT...
Before we even arrive at the question of increased mathematical complexity within the context of an existing, simple-math system that lacks transparency and verifiable accuracy, we need to ask ourselves why IRV?
Is there something wrong with a system, like the multiparty parliamentary systems employed by the UK and Canada, in which the candidate who receives the most votes is declared the winner even if that candidate receives only a simple plurality, as opposed to an absolute majority of the votes cast?
In those U.S. races where an absolute majority is required, there are run-off elections; though they are not "instant." Is there something inherently wrong with that?
I believe that many who advocate IRV in the U.S. do so because they feel trapped by the "lesser evil paradigm" of the two party system, something that Chris Hedges and Ralph Nader described in , "The Left Has Nowhere to Go" as the "cowardice of the Left."
IRV is proposed by those who would hold their nose and vote for Obama in 2012 because the alternative is to risk the election of a certifiably insane 'wing-nut.'
Rather than display the political courage required to vote for the candidate most suited for public office, IRV is advanced as a remedy for the IRV proponent's lack of political fortitude.
COMMENT #23 [Permalink]
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Brad Friedman
said on 4/18/2011 @ 11:34 am PT...
SteveM @ 13 said:
IRV means death to our corrupt two party system. So it's no big surprise that a Democratic party operative like Brad hates the idea!
Working on a number of deadlines today, so unable to keep up with comments as they're rolling in for the moment, but just noted this one and had to respond to thank Steve for one of the best laughs I'm likely to have all week!
"A Democratic party operative like Brad"! I suspect the Democratic Party would be very surprised to hear about that! With "operatives" like me, no wonder they're in so much trouble!
COMMENT #24 [Permalink]
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Brad Friedman
said on 4/18/2011 @ 12:56 pm PT...
SteveM makes a fool of himself yet again @ 17 with:
We had a statewide IRV election for NC Court of Appeals in North Carolina in Nov 2010. The loser had 100,000 more votes than the winner.
That sounds like a damning indictment of the ability of the people in NC to understand that one number is larger than another and suggests that some remedial arithmetic is in order. But it says nothing about IRV.
Actually, what this comment suggests is that SteveM understands absolutely nothing about IRV or how it works (or doesn't). But knowing nothing about something doesn't seem to keep SteveM from talking about it nonetheless. Apparently. Sigh...
COMMENT #25 [Permalink]
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Jon in Iowa
said on 4/18/2011 @ 12:59 pm PT...
This article is boogeyman hunting, plain and simple. It sets up IRV as a threat to Hawaii's "largely paper-based system" without pointing to any place in the bill which institutionalizes non-paper systems (let alone funds purchases of them). The problem is a lack of transparency, and the problem is the same whether the election entail IRV, majority run-offs or plurality voting. Dr. Mercuri is simply trying to tie a new (alleged) witch to an old stake.
COMMENT #26 [Permalink]
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mick
said on 4/18/2011 @ 1:05 pm PT...
COMMENT #27 [Permalink]
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Randy D
said on 4/18/2011 @ 1:44 pm PT...
I support IRV or "Single Transferable Vote" as it is also known. I fully support the goals of open, transparent election tabulation. But that is a means to an ends.
I also support a voting system that allows the voter to select their preferred candidate rather than having to make the complicated game theory calculations necessary to navigate the "winner take all" system whenever there are more than two choices.
If Nader (for example) is my choice, I want to be able to express that choice without having to do outside research on polling data (what other voters might do) to determine whether I have to vote for a lesser evil to avoid the greater evil. That's complicated too.
COMMENT #28 [Permalink]
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Paul Allen
said on 4/18/2011 @ 3:29 pm PT...
A couple of notes:
Oakland, Ca, had an IRV election for mayor recently for the first time. I have observed voting in Alameda Co. (which encompasses Oakland) before IRV. In California, one percent of the votes, paper ballots and DRE printouts, are counted by hand. It was hard to observe, because you had to stay in one spot on the side of the room while election workers counted the ballots at a distance.
On the one hand, any complication of the system adds to the difficulty of counting and observing. On the other hand, in this election two grassroots-supported candidates would have split the vote in favor of a big money-supported candidate in a simple majority system. One of the grassroots candidates came in second on the first round of counting, but won the election. She could not have afforded a run-off election.
I wasn't aware of approval voting, before this. It does sound simpler to me, and fair.
COMMENT #29 [Permalink]
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Brad Friedman
said on 4/18/2011 @ 3:37 pm PT...
RandyD @ 27 said:
I support IRV or "Single Transferable Vote" as it is also known. I fully support the goals of open, transparent election tabulation. But that is a means to an ends.
A means to what end? Democracy? Cool! Partisan triumph? You've come to the wrong place, if so.
I also support a voting system that allows the voter to select their preferred candidate rather than having to make the complicated game theory calculations necessary to navigate the "winner take all" system whenever there are more than two choices.
And yet you support IRV? Which triples down on the game theory involved to get your winner? Mmmkay. Methinks you may want to peruse the videos of SJVoter for a while, and learn about the madness of IRV game theory.
If Nader (for example) is my choice, I want to be able to express that choice without having to do outside research on polling data (what other voters might do) to determine whether I have to vote for a lesser evil to avoid the greater evil.
Understood. And, as noted above, that's why I also once supported IRV. Until I came to understand how it works (or doesn't).
And also while I've mentioned Approval Voting as also linked above. Many of the upsides of IRV --- example, you could vote for BOTH Nader and your choice of other candidate --- much less mathematical madness.
COMMENT #30 [Permalink]
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Brad Friedman
said on 4/18/2011 @ 3:40 pm PT...
COMMENT #31 [Permalink]
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Ernest A. Canning
said on 4/18/2011 @ 4:08 pm PT...
Randy D @27 writes:
If Nader...is my choice, I want to be able to express that choice without having to do outside research on polling data (what other voters might do)...
If Nader is your choice, then you should vote for Nader irrespective of what you "think" other voters will or will not do.
In a democracy, the intelligent voter makes a decision to support the best qualified candidate irrespective of what the pollsters say. The only reason the lesser evil paradigm even exists is because too many focus on polls, personality and not upon where an individual candidate stands on issues that truly matter.
In 2007 a blind poll was conducted that listed Democratic presidential candidate policy positions but not their names. Kucinich received a whopping 53%. Clinton and Obama were both in the low single digits.
The quality of our democracy, or should I say, the lack thereof, is a reflection of the willingness and wisdom of individual citizens to examine where each candidate stands on issues of substance and to then vote accordingly.
People who passively accept those whom the corporate media says are the "viable" candidates and then vote out of a desire to evade the lesser evil, or based on a choice between two corporate-sponsored candidates whom the polls suggest are the most likely to "win" are not citizens. They are consumers.
The answer lies not in gimmicks like IRV but upon the existence of an informed citizenry which makes rationale and informed choices.
As knowledge will forever govern ignorance, democracy imposes a burden upon each of us to acquire the knowledge necessary to elect a "representative" government with the informed consent of the citizenry.
COMMENT #32 [Permalink]
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Jon in Iowa
said on 4/18/2011 @ 8:44 pm PT...
Ernest, you make quite a passionate argument in favor of an informed citizenry, but none of it is actually an argument against IRV. Why should gimmicks like simple plurality or gimmicks like a run-off scheme or gimmicks like approval voting be any more reductive of political consumerism than "gimmicks like IRV"?
COMMENT #33 [Permalink]
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Jack E Lohman
said on 4/19/2011 @ 6:01 am PT...
IRV is too confusing??? Hey, then just mark ONE candidate, the old-fashioned way.
COMMENT #34 [Permalink]
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Leonard Schmiege
said on 4/19/2011 @ 10:50 am PT...
The BRAD BLOG has aptly derided IRV as one of a number of ill-advised, poorly considered "election viruses" spread dishonestly by supposed proponents of improvements to our electoral system
The spread dishonestly by proponents part bothers me, as the idea is certainly worth debating.
I'm in favor of IRV (and paper and hand counts and I don't care how long it takes) although I would like to study how it would be implemented.
There was an article in Wired magazine a few years back, (I can't find it now) that listed many, maybe even 9 or more vote tally systems that could be an improvement for democracy over plurality or basic IRV. The concept deserves serious consideration.
COMMENT #35 [Permalink]
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Brad Friedman
said on 4/19/2011 @ 2:16 pm PT...
Jack E Lohman @ 33 said:
IRV is too confusing??? Hey, then just mark ONE candidate, the old-fashioned way.
You may have missed the general thrust of the article and/or discussion here, Jack. While IRV can be very confusing for voters, the concern being discussed --- and, in my opinion, a much greater one --- is the confusion in counting and citizens being able to oversee that count to assure that it is accurate.
As I noted above, I have spoken to a number of candidates in IRV elections who have simply been unable to understand how the math was completed that resulted in them either winning or losing. And those are the candidates! Imagine how the public trying to oversee the accuracy of the count must feel!
Again, I'd strongly urge folks to check out the short videos by SJVoter on a number of different, real world, often nightmarish aspects, of IRV.
COMMENT #36 [Permalink]
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Brad Friedman
said on 4/19/2011 @ 2:21 pm PT...
Leonard Schmiege @ 34 said:
The spread dishonestly by proponents part bothers me, as the idea is certainly worth debating.
You are correct. So, to expand on that charge, allow me to add that not all proponents of IRV are dishonestly spreading misinformation about it. There are many true believers. One of the main proponents of IRV in this country, however, having spent years and untold dollars misinforming the public about it, has been FairVote.org and their various representatives, such as Rob Ritchie, who have, at times, been very dishonest and very deceitful and very misleading in the course of their exhaustive (and, often exhausting) advocacy.
They are, largely, the main thrust behind the push for IRV in virtually every community where it rears its ugly head, and they have a long track record of misinforming both the public and the public official about it's serious shortcomings.
COMMENT #37 [Permalink]
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Mike Ridgway
said on 4/19/2011 @ 11:09 pm PT...
I am a notable proponent of IRV and am not dishonest. Because of my efforts, IRV is now used in multiple county Republican Parties in Utah. It works flawlessly. Come on, Brad, if you want to talk about dishonesty, the two most dishonest operatives I have ever encountered in the election integrity movement are Joyce McCloy and Kathy Dopp, without a doubt the most strident disparagers of IRV on the planet. Here's a link to a spreadsheet that shows how we handled an election with 12 candidates in a way that would have been impossible using 1+1=2 voting methods. 2002 12-candidate election for the Utah Republican Party's nomination for the 2nd Congressional District, using Instant Runoff Voting. Simply elegant. Not complicated at all.