Guest blogged by Winter Patriot
This week’s Brad Show is almost ready to hit the airwaves. Once again we have a fine lineup and the prospect of a great show.
Listen LIVE via the Web! Saturday from 7p-11p ET (4p-8p PT)!
Repeating Sunday 12noon-4p ET (9a-1p PT)
Quick and easy access to LIVE listening links, archives, upcoming guests,
donation links and ad info (it’s not to late to advertise!)
and more via www.BradShow.com!
Direct streaming links via RAW STORY!
Donate here to help defray costs!
This week’s guests:
URGENT REMINDER: The BRAD SHOW is supported (for now) by listener donations! So get on the phone, or send some e-mail, and tell a few friends about The BRAD SHOW. You (and they) will be glad you did.
LIVE OPEN THREAD BLOGGING below: click on the “comments” link at the bottom-right corner of this item to join in!
The phone-in number is 323-650-1286. You’re all invited to call Brad and ask a question!







Welcome Back, Winter Patriot!
Hey everyone! HUGE show tonight! Enjoy!
Hi there, Winter P! Thanks!
Hello Winter 🙂 Hi Brad!
I’m here.
Top of the evening Brad, WP and fellow Patriots! It’s time for another remarkable BRAD SHOW, RAW Radio Saturday night!
Hey I see you have a clip of Franken vs that fat head Hannity. Does anyone have a clip of Springer vs Hannity?
Hi guys! Nice to see you all here tonight! We’re all making a difference again.
The Brad Show welcomes Rick Piltz, a whistle-blower on the bush administration’s War On Science.
The Rick Piltz Memo, Or, How to Politicize a Science Program
White House sought advice from Exxon on Kyoto stance
Ex-White House Official to Join Fuel Company
Thanks to our newest sponsor, HeretikInc.com. You can check out their innovative designs here.
More cooked books: BLM report of the effects of livestock grazing on habitat, native species.
Thanks for the links Peg C, WP. I hadn’t read those yet.
Sorry about the sound on the pre-recorded Piltz interview. Hopefully we’re getting out loud and clear otherwise?
It’s clear but not too loud. You could crank this interview a bit!
I’m hearing very well, Brad. Just sounds a bit tinny, is all.
This is OT but very important:
U.S. lies on the use of banned weapons and materials in Iraq
—Weekend Breakthrough!—
—Weekend Breakthrough!—
—Weekend Breakthrough!—
MSM MEDIA BLITZ NOW STARTING TO OCCUR — FINALLY!!!
see:
DSM BLITZ!! 5 stories on DSM — by AP!!!
(now on the Daily Kos recommended list)
for more on todays MSM media blitz and what you can do about it to keep it in the media.
TIME TO TAKE ACTION!
– recommend this diary
– rate the Yahoo stories with 5 stars and email them as many times as you can!
(as of 5:30 pm EST:)
– Top Story on AP
– Top Story on CP
– Top Story on MSNBC
– Top Story on ABC
YAHOO NEWS:
– Top Story (only 3 star average rating!!)
– #1 World News
– #1 "Most recommended list" (NEW STORY!!!)
– #2 "Most emailed" Story (up two!!)
– #2 Politics News
– #3 Most Viewed Story
The Brad Show is pleased to welcome Joan Krawitz and Warren Stewart from VoteTrustUSA, where
Peg: Don’t worry about it: nothing is OT on an open thread!
The show is cutting out every 3 seconds. I have broadband so I usually do not experience that while listening online.
Is Brad’s voice breaking up for anyone else, or is it just my slow connection?
I wish these guys the best of luck as far as getting true voter reform through.
On Huffingtonpost, Jim Lampley, HBO boxing commentator wrote a couple of kick ass blogs on how Bush stole the election in 2004. He went back and forth with a couple of right wingers. It was classic stuff.
But honestly, ensuring voting systems are implemented with a paper trail should be a non partisan issue like Brad said.
Diebold makes ATM machines, there’s no way they can say it’s too difficult to produce a paper trail for votes. :plain:
Alison – Try another audio feed… Some of the links get overloaded while others get very little traffic.
Thanks once again to OpTruth.Org for sponsoring The Brad Show. Please visit their site and read what our troops are saying. After all, how can we support them if we don’t even know what they need?
Here’s a sample from the Optruth blog:
Yep, elections are our most important tool. And most easily hacked. Lets get it right, once and for all.
I say NO machines, just paper ballots and lots of volunteers to count them.
Victoria Parks: My Vote Dont Matter Anymore (MP3)
Yaaayyyy! Kick it!
Torqued, does MP3 require special software?
Peg you might be right about that. Howard Dean is pushing for a national election system like Oregon’s. Their state law is that you can’t implement a system that doesn’t have an ability to be recounted by hand.
Paper ballots exceed the exit polls margin-of-error (MOE) and are the ONLY voting method to EVER do so. Canada uses them. Germany uses them. Several US counties and precincts use them. Is it any wonder why?
Nonbeliever #28 –
Here in rural Maine, we use pencils and paper ballots. They do in all of Canada too. People in this country are just plain spoiled and lazy – perfect targets for fraud!
Torqued: can you explain what you meant by Paper ballots exceed the exit polls margin-of-error (MOE) ???
Thanks
Peg C, #27 —
No not at all. Download the MP3 file to your computer and click on the file when it’s through downloading. It is an excellent song!
Torqued #29 –
"Paper ballots exceed the exit polls margin-of-error"
??????
What did you mean by this? That they are MORE error-prone or LESS?
Tried to hit a few sponsers during commericial. It took way too long, will try later. This is dial-up.
Thanks, Torqued!
Yes WP, TruthIsAll at DemocraticUnderground.com revealed the paper ballot MOE accuracy in one or two of his analysis of the exit polls. I’m not sure but it may be found on this page:
JIM LAMPLEY: THIS IS FOR YOU. GO FOR THE KNOCKOUT!
Good no Diebold in California!!!
Thanks to our new sponsor: The High Bidder dot Com your affordable online auction alternative.
The Brad Show welcomes Matt Raiche and Peter Ginter, along with their attorney, Mark Schopper. Matt and Peter had an unpleasant brush with some US Marines, as detailed here: U.S. contract workers say they were abused by marines in Iraq
And you can find more details here: Marines ‘beat US workers’ in Iraq
Please permit this nearly frozen blogger to point out that the statement from the "Marine Corps spokesman" [quoted in The Guardian as mentioned above] makes no sense. If an investigation is continuing, then he’s in no position to claim that no abuse took place. Converserly, if no abuse took place, then why is there an investigation?
Sometimes the BS is so transparent it’s laughable.
If you are listening and reading and you can help to support this very worthy cause, please do so via PayPal, or by sending snail mail to Brad’s PO Box:
Brad Friedman
7095 Hollywood Blvd., #594
Los Angeles, CA 90028
Winter –
Why so cold, dear blogger?
To clarify my remark about paper ballots vs the exit polls MOE; The margin-of-error for the Mitofsky National Exit polls is somewhere around 1% (I’ll have to look it up again) and paper ballot precincts in the 2004 election were the ONLY precincts to fall within (under!) the MOE in EVERY instance.
Paper ballots are the most reliable method to vote and have those votes counted. The exit polls have proven that.
Thanks, Torqued. This makes more sense now.
Thanks for clarifying, Torqued.
re #42 :: Don’t know, Peg. I think it’s a basic fact of nature. How could a winter patriot be hot?
Brad,
Not related to tonights guests but at the end of the show can you update us on VelvetRevolution.us ?
There should be a moratorium on the purchase and use of all electronic voting/counting equipment.
It’s been proven that electronic voting and counting equipment is hackable, including DREs (touch-screens), optical scanners and central tabulators. Including only ONE of any of these machines (e.g. for disabled voters) compromises the whole election system.
The certification process was fraudulent. It’s now hard to see how using any of this equipment was legal. (See the documentation that has now been put into the official record in California at http://www.bbvforums.org/forums...17182#POST7282.
Formal requests have now been made for inspection of Diebold and ES&S memory cards for the numerous specific hackability characteristics revealed in Leon County FL.
Belated thanks to our first-hour guests, Joan Krawitz and Warren Stewart from VoteTrustUSA.
Winter P #46 –
Ah. Just "thinking of the season and the sad things that we’ve seen." I melt at temperatures over 70. The combination of summer and being "frozen at the bone" is schizophrenic and alarming.
Thanks again to our sponsor Voters Unite dot Org. Visit their site, join their mailing list, make a donation!
Brad … I don’t get to listen to you often so I’m gonna take this opportunity to say you do a great job with content and presentation … thanks.
FYI: In comment #50, Peg was referring to this song.
Thanks, Rama! Good to see ya!
Winter –
#50: Yay! I didn’t think people would recognize Gordon Bok, so I didn’t reference it.
God! This is incredible; were those marines sadists before joining the corps? Is it an enlistment prerequisite? Or did Iraq do that to them?
In the third hour, The Brad Show is proud to welcome Cindy Sheehan, of Gold Star Families for Peace
You can hear more from Cindy Sheehan here: Real Voices
You can also read an interview Cindy Sheehan did with BuzzFlash here.
And please click here for an excellent column by Cindy Sheehan on BuzzFlash. Here’s an excerpt:
DSM seems to be front page of USA TODAY!!
http://www.usatoday.com/
Damn, your shows are interesting! Thanks, Brad.
Oh yeah, can’t get this anywhere else on earth! The BRAD SHOW ROCKS!
Thanks for bringing that BLM travesty up, Brad!
Thanks to our loyal sponsor, Date Of Return dot Com. Please visit their site — and help them help our troops come back home.
We’ve lost you, Brad!
I’m still hearing Brad…
Thanks to our second-hour guests, Matt Raiche, Peter Ginter, and Mark Schopper.
No, Brad It’s not just you. If Clinton hosted a dinner and a porn star was a guest, … would it EVER hit the fan!!
Cindy! Welcome FINALLY!!
I really admire Cindy Sheehan’s courage and resolve. Wherever she gets her strength, may it keep streaming so she can continue her good work! Thank you Cindy Sheehan!
That was an extremely lame version of "Smoke On The Water" there … I hope it came from the network and not from Brad’s studio.
Do you believe President Bush misled the nation in order to go to war with Iraq?
46,998 responses
Yes
94%
No
6%
————————
This MSNBC poll has been stuck at 94% Yes since it began.
You tell Cindy Sheehan!!
The Tide Has Turned!
Thank you so much, Cindy Sheehan!
Thanks to our sponsor Seeing The Forest dot Com.
Chuck Hagel says Bushco is disconnected from reality.
Well, thanks, Chuck, but it was YOUR company’s machines that put Bush where he is today!
Cindy Sheehan is amazing. Thanks Brad. Thanks Cindy.
Thanks once again to Cindy Sheehan. We must never forget that her heart-breaking story is only one among thousands.
Who did Cindy mention just before she left? Someone in charge of Bush something.
I had to leave for while and just got back.
Did I hear right?
New memos coming out….?
Nothing on google…
Links, info….?
Thanx!
Great show!
Think this is what you’re talking about
British bombing raids were illegal, says leaked Foreign Office documents (Sunday Times)
That’s right, Six. More British memos coming out — see The Raw Story for more details or click here for the newest report from Times Online.
Six #79 –
Link here, courtesy of Raw Story.
Yaaayyy!!!
Oops, appears my link got messed up somehow. Sorry bout that, its 3.00am here, I’m tired, shoot me 😛
Partridge –
Are you in the UK?
Please visit our newest sponsor, Crooks And Liars dot Com.
The beautiful* Isle of Ireland!
*for a given definition of ‘beautiful’.
Thanx…
Gotta go bbq some salmon or I’ll have a uprising here at home.
😉
Yes Every party puts some of their party faithful in admin positions. Bushco has no standards for quality-only loyalty.
Tom Delay has told many government agencies and think tanks: Get all the Democrats out.
Lots of people blog here from Ireland! What is the *given definition?
Don’t worry, Partridge. Nobody’s gonna shoot you. In fact I have fixed your link. 😉
Thanks to Rick Piltz … please visit him at Government Accountability Project
In the second half of our final hour, The Brad Show welcomes blogger Chris Bowers, of MyDD dot Com. Chris has been tracking the growth of the blogosphere, and I hope you will read some of the pieces he has written. Here are a few links to get you started.
Liberal Blogosphere Surpasses Cable News
It has happened even sooner! And meanwhile… Aristocratic Right Wing Blogosphere Stagnating
We’re big in Ireland, Peg (Could it be all the green?)
Thanks for the link, Winter P.
@Peg
Well, to be fair there are parts that are stunningly beautiful, and other places that are not. Just like every other country in the world I guess.
(But the Irish Tourist Board makes it mandatory that we all use that phrase when talking to potential cashco… errr… I mean, potential valued visitors to Leprechaunland(TM). – They will have me shot for letting others in on the secret!)
MUST be the green, Brad! Great show!
@Winter
Thanks!
Also, hey Brad – love the show! Especially loved the interview with Ray McG last week!!! So glad you asked him about 9-11. I seriously thought he’d ‘do a Chomsky’ on it, but to my delight he didn’t.
Ha, Partridge! I tell people NOT to come here (Maine). I tell them all the horrible things about living here (too many people!), but, sadly, they don’t seem to believe me.
who will post the 100th comment?
I read Chris Bowers diary on kos. It explained so much about the freepers. There are few conservative community exchange of info.
YOU NAILED IT, WP!!! Cheers and whistles!
Chris: How about this for a theory?
The conservative blogosphere is languishing and the liberal blogosphere is growing because liberals are searching for the truth [interesting] whereas the conservative bloggers are simply echoing the same lies over and over and over [boring].
AP has MANY stories on the DSM today!
Yes, Peg! It’s happening. And we need to work even harder now to keep it happening, because the enemies of our country will certainly double and redouble their efforts to keep the truth from the people.
Thanks to our final guest of the evening, Chris Bowers.
We will, Winter P, we will. The alternative is too hair-raising.
If you have been listening and reading and enjoying the show and the blog, and if you can help to support this very worthy cause, please do so via PayPal, or by sending snail mail to Brad’s PO Box:
Brad Friedman
7095 Hollywood Blvd., #594
Los Angeles, CA 90028
George Galloway! Awesome!
Top drawer show tonight Brad. Thats a wrap. Put in in the can!
Thank you for hosting here, Winter; and thanks to Brad for another outstanding 4 hours.
Kira had a family obligation tonight but she will be back soon!
U guys continue to rock the world.
Thank you. Endlessly.
Good to have ya back WP!
Galloway! Wow! Cross you fingers…
Thanks Winter
Thanks to all who have made comments on this thread, and to to all who have contributed a bit of cash to the BradShow coffers … and to Brad himself, without whom none of this would be possible.
It was a great show — again! — and it’s been an honor to be part of it.
Thanks everyone, this was really fun. Missed you Kira!
Brad’s a natural.
Yeah isn’t he? I’ve never experienced radio like this anywhere. Thanks Peg C. for the great links and everything you do and care about.
Thanks to all of you. What a show! What a group!!
I mean this is great. Blogging while listening to Brad(blog).
Blogs are the a big, big part of real news.
I mean a newspaper comes out once a day. On the net the news can be discussed, torn apart or verified all day.
If you don’t trust a sight, go to 100 others.
I think the MSM is like People Magazine.
Which I cannot put down once I start.
Bush says US is in Iraq because of 9-11 attacks on US (AFP)
QUOTE:"We went to war because we were attacked."
I’m sorry… what???
Hey y’all 🙂 Aren’t we all just LOVIN the coverage of the DSMs?
And did you hear the latest?
A SHARP increase in British and American bombing raids on Iraq in the run-up to war “to put pressure on the regime” was illegal under international law, according to leaked Foreign Office legal advice.
And the last part says it all –
"Although the legality of the war has been more of an issue in Britain than in America, the revelations indicate Bush may also have acted illegally, since Congress did not authorise military action until October 11 2002.
The air war had already begun six weeks earlier and the spikes of activity had been underway for five months. "
Somebody give me one good reason why these people shouldn’t go to jail.
*****
On a lighter note…
Okay, this is too weird NOT to post.
Winter Patriot re: #66 – Americablog is reporting that Mary Carey said she wanted to meet the Bush daughters, that she "totally wants to have sex with them"
She also said she’s a Christian and believes in the Ten Commandments (maybe she and Jeff Gannon go to the same church?) To be fair, there’s nothing in there that says "Thou shalt not be horny for the President’s daughters"
How’s that for conservative family values?
She also said she wants to have sex with Karl Rove and Pat Buchanan.
EEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEWWWWWWWWWWW!!!
Is there ANYTHING this woman won’t hump? *L*
Partridge #122 –
Exactly! The criminal liar! WE didn’t need Downing Street to inform us of this, but the corporate media sure plays it close to the vest. Cheating people out of true information is a CRIME. It should be prosecutable. "When will they ever learn?"
==========
I’ve asked Brad to play Gordon Bok’s "Tune for November" next week. Maybe we’ll be "turning toward the morning" by then.
Kes # 123 –
"Blows" the mind. This thugly gang is totally unhinged. Google links to child porn and prostitution.
This vilification of Durbin is ridiculous. Orthodox Israeli Jews deplore radical Zionism as a losing tactic.
Help make EVERY street DOWNING STREET
LOL
{Spam reposted again and again. Removed. Knock it off, Jimmo. Give whatever damn opinions you want, but do note repost the same shit over and over again. You’re really trying my exceedingly generous patience. Knock it the fuck off, or every one of your posts will be removed. Got it? – BF}
MMIIXX:
Nice fiction; too bad you made it all up.
You really have to work on your writing skills.
To avoid being caught making up a story; refrain from making it overly detailed. Real stories never have the level of detail made up stories do.
Also; when making up a story refrain from the impulse to do not add some personal activity to it at the end such as you did. It is in immediate signal that the writers is fabricating his story.
Finally, when attempting to show some form of unity with your beliefs it helps to have no more than 4 parties expressing unamimous consent that YOU are right but you do need that token person that had yet to be convinced of the issue. More than 4 from a single location stretches the imagination because of the extremely wide divergent opinions on issues.
Your grade is a C -. Please try again.
Let me see if I have this right. "…refrain from the impulse to do not add some personal activity to it at the end such as you did." And this person is criticizing SOMEONE ELSE’S writing skills?
It reads like something George W. Bush would have come up with. We’d have to dissemble it before it would make sense…except that would be catapulting the propaganda in a nookyoular fashion.
Erm… Jimmo…
"It is in immediate signal" ..AND.. "refrain from the impulse to do not add some personal activity…"
Who needs to work on their writing skills??
You’re still the same trolling hypocrite that you were yesterday… I guess you’ll never learn.
You simply confirm our belief that Bush-fanaticism and purile ignorance go hand in hand. Congrats.
RLM #133, it is not a person it is a troll. Please adress it accordingly if you must feed it.
HMMM.
NOT A SINGLE WORD ABOUT DSM ON MEET THE PRESS, STEPHANOUPOULOS, OR ANYWHERE ELSE TODAY.
BUT BOY OH BOY DODD AND BIDEN SURE LOOKED HUMBLE.
I GUESS DURBIN THREW EVERYBODY FOR A LOOP WITH HIS ANTI MILITARY STATEMENT!
MMIIXX,
I’m gonna have to overrule Jimmo’s earlier post and bump your grade up to a B+.
For Originality – 10
For Performance – 10
For Lyp Syncing -8
It has been dicovered that one of the judges (going by the name of attorney jimmo) has been disqualified for enjoying his anal probe on board the SS Alien cruiser. Anal probes won’t necessarily disqualify you from being a judge, but enjoying them will.
*laughin* I love this place!
Brad, I for one am glad you’ve allowed the trolls to stay (and y’all bear with me for a minute and I’ll explain, don’t start throwing rocks at me for saying that, okay?)
Seriously, if I visit a discussion board or blog that stops getting hit by trolls, it mean we’re not making an impact with our statements. An increase in activity means we’re making them nervous. If they considered us insignificant, they’d ignore us.
Make sense?
Brad, keep doin what you do..and to the rest of the 6 or 7, and those who have joined us, keep making noise!
Oh and to ALL of the DADS out there – HAPPY FATHER’S DAY!!!!
Newt Gingrich is calling for the censure of Senator Durbin. Here is my email to Newt:
You sir, and the Bush administration are the ones that have dishonored America and its citizens, not Senator Durbin. With the release of the Downing Street Minutes it is now clear the the Bush administration deceived the American people and Congress. Your censure should be directed at those in the administration, including our commander in chief, who have actually caused the murder of our own brave soldiers, and tens of thousands of Iraqi citizens, who continue to hold detainees indefinitely, who sanctioned the torture of prisoners at Abu Ghraib and other prisons, have fueled an international hornet’s nest of hatred at our country and have destroyed America’s good reputation even amongst its own citizens. Stop playing your pathetic politics and exposing your enormous hypocrisy. The truth will set us all free. You should try it.
Help make EVERY street DOWNING STREET
Let’s Do it Guys!!! It’s really easy! Make every freakin’ major street in the U.S.A DOWNING STREET until Bush is impeached!!! Use whatever signage materials you have to muster.
Wall street is now "DOWNING STREET".
Rodeo Drive is now "DOWNING STREET".
Bourbon Street is now "DOWNING STREET".
Broadway is now "DOWNING STREET"…..
Be sure to take pictures, too. And send them to the media.
A
diary has been created at Daily Kos for this idea.
Uplifting sign of the country waking up.
I went to go hit a bucket of golf balls today. (Beautiful day, 85 and sunny). The place I go to is inhabited by crusty old men who scratch a lot and talk shit all day long. This is their retirement. I know this place to be pretty conservative so I just go to hit a bucket and not chew the fat.
Today I’m walking in to get my bucket and I hear one dude telling another in his heavy southern drawl "did you see the thing on C-SPAN with this COnyers feller?" That’s all I needed. I spent the next 45 minutes telling them about the petition, the work that’s been going on for weeks, and so on. They had a lot of questions and I was able to fill in some gaps in their information. There were other people listening and chiming in. Out of the 6 or 7 people there NOT ONE defended Bushit. Not one. Even guys who by looking at them you know are Republicans were piling on. They didn’t know how much Halliburton has stolen, as an example of information that they still don’t have. When I started to walk away and start hitting golf balls…
…Here it comes…..
The guy I originally started talking to says "I think there’s gonna be an impeachment".!!! EVERYONE ELSE WAS NODDING THEIR HEADS IN AGREEMENT.
I was floored…and then I was giddy…then I nailed 80 out of 90 golf swings.
http://www.democraticundergroun...4×3886170
I second Kes’ sentiments above(!) and offer the following link:
Palast – Iraq planning timeline, from February, 2001
Mmixx’s post #129 was from an article from Bellaciao I had already linked to in my #72. He didn’t "make it up."
JIMMO your a clown boy ,see the link to democraticunderground.com moron .
You should change your username to "HERPES" ,you just don’t seem to go away no matter what treatment we use!
Peg C. – Thanks for the great links per usual! MMIIXX – I think Jimmo should be named HerpesII at best – there are all these unpleasant issues that keep erupting all over the corpulent, gassifying corpocon establishment, and I’m convinced they aren’t going away – unless: the bad guys manage to affix a dirty explosaive to an LNG tanker in Boston Harbor, blowing away a few pesky blue states and letting the fallout enshroud those pesky, effete Europeans, who have decided "they just plain don’t like war." We must all be on our toes – spread the word! I’m afraid they’re dead set on doing it, or something similar, and the least we can do is not let ourselves get suckered into rallying around the flag again…
Why not have the show archived as a podcast?
Hey Brad,
When are the archives of Sunday’s show gonna be up?
Thanks!
What is a podcast?
Are you not into technology then Robert? Here’s something about a free BBC trial to let you see http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio/downloadtrial/ and you’ve heard of ipods of course?
(sorry don’t know how to do a clickable link yet).
Donna
By the way, if you’re not, it’s a nice change since I’m surrounded by technofreaks normally! 😛
Hi Donna!
I haven’t had a chance to welcome you to the blog here. Thanks for sharing your views and for letting us know just how small (or non-existant) our voices are in the world community. How very sad and frightening that is to me — please take the news of the Left-Wing Blogosphere back to Europe. Please help advertise us!
We do exist even though the extreme-rightwingnuts presently control our government are working hard to silence us.
Never would I have imagined that I would grow up to face this kind of regime in power.
Please help us get the word out!
*My correction to #148 — "the extreme-rightwingnuts who presently control our government .. "
Also – I never thought I would grow up to fact this kind of regime which is in power today.
(My injured back is spasming today & my brain seems to follow suit!)
Hi Kira,
How are you feeling now? (I did read some other posts) And you’ve already welcomed me here before – I’m the person from the same birthplace as George Galloway. I have already been promoting this blog to anyone interested. I never thought I’d live to see this kind of regime in America either. But then nothing lasts forever!
You still made sense to me – my brain must be skewed too! :laugh:
Ah yes, Donna! I do remember you from the George Galloway days (seems so far back in time, by now.) Thank you so much for hanging in here with us.
To answer your kind query about my healing process — I’m doing a little better today, though the occasional muscle spasms are very uncomfortable. But, it’s ok — and believe me, nothing like the sickening pain I feel about the state of this, my country.
I’ve been aware of the ones in power (the elites) since my childhood. All you need do is read the history of how the original settlers to this country dealt with the indigenous peoples and through laws they created, eventually committed a near genocide of them. It continues even today through subtle means — such as the cruel minimum wage the rightwingnuts enforce and the TAXES the poor continue to pay (against the assertions of our unpopular and erroneous visitor, BS.)
I just watched a documentary the other night that provides an inside view into the workings of the government relating to our Native Americans, titled "The Spirit of Annie Mae."
This government (the Nixon years) was involved in the secret sterilization of Native American Women. This government was involved in giving arms, money and immunity to Indians who would infiltrate AIM (American Indian Movement) for the purpose of collecting information, disruption and silencing (permanently if desired) those who were the most powerful in this movement. Annie Mae was one of those.
This government was also involved in The Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment in which they used indigent Negroes for their experiments which included withholding the successful antibiotic treatment which was widely available.
And if anyone out there thinks this government is too righteous to knowingly cause the deaths of millions of Americans, they should do some research into its history. Then continue the research into 9/11.
The Christmas Tsunami, which killed 1/2 million, innocent people, may have been caused by the Christmas launch of a live war-head during a Star-Wars missile test from Vandenburg AFB at Lompoc, CA. The anti-missile interception test was unsuccessful, last Christmas.
The Biggest Tsunami ever recorded was radio-active, killed billions of fish and traveled at the speed of a nuclear blast. But, was the Tsunami intentional or caused by the Devil, God, or rusty "triggering" devices in aging, Titan missiles? And, did the H-Bomb explode by extreme ocean pressure at a depth never before tested or delayed triggering?
And, will warmongers blame North Korea if another happens near Crescent City, CA., since pre-conditioning tremors have already occurred?
The Bushites have already been caught in several "Big Lies", including the intentional, prewired destruction of Building 7 (or CIA headquarters) at the World Trade Center; plus, the Downing Street Memos; plus, "The Project for a New American Century" or the "P.N.A.C. Agenda". Therefore, the following is a sonnet composed by me on "Poetry.com".
The Beasts of War
to all Bushites (rev. g)
How soon we forget the horrors of war
As heroes die of post-war maladies,
Or patriots fly with our Army Corps
In Black Hawks or Harriers from Hades!
Our unrighteous wars leave trillions in debts,
While millions of lives were tortured by fire,
And rich warmongers made billions on vets,
Which helped them increase political ire!
Soon, they intend to prey on more nations,
To twist more minds and to slay more vassals,
Spread more Anti-Christ abominations,
And start Tsunamis from NORAD castles!
So, cast your vote to abort this error,
These bastards conspire to exploit terror!
J. Herbert Armistead, Sacramento, Ca. or Reno, NV. , Copyright ©2005 James H. Armistead @ http://www.poetry.com
The Christmas Tsunami, which killed 1/2 million, innocent people, may have been caused by the Christmas launch of a live war-head during a Star-Wars missile test from Vandenburg AFB at Lompoc, CA. The anti-missile interception test was unsuccessful, last Christmas.
The Biggest Tsunami ever recorded was radio-active, killed billions of fish and traveled at the speed of a nuclear blast. But, was the Tsunami intentional or caused by the Devil, God, or rusty "triggering" devices in aging, Titan missiles? And, did the H-Bomb explode by extreme ocean pressure at a depth never before tested or delayed triggering?
And, will warmongers blame North Korea if another happens near Crescent City, CA., since pre-conditioning tremors have already occurred?
The Bushites have already been caught in several "Big Lies", including the intentional, prewired destruction of Building 7 (or CIA headquarters) at the World Trade Center; plus, the Downing Street Memos; plus, "The Project for a New American Century" or the "P.N.A.C. Agenda". Therefore, the following is a sonnet composed by me on "Poetry.com".
The Beasts of War
to all Bushites (rev. g)
How soon we forget the horrors of war
As heroes die of post-war maladies,
Or patriots fly with our Army Corps
In Black Hawks or Harriers from Hades!
Our unrighteous wars leave trillions in debts,
While millions of lives were tortured by fire,
And rich warmongers made billions on vets,
Which helped them increase political ire!
Soon, they intend to prey on more nations,
To twist more minds and to slay more vassals,
Spread more Anti-Christ abominations,
And start Tsunamis from NORAD castles!
So, cast your vote to abort this error,
These bastards conspire to exploit terror!
J. Herbert Armistead, Sacramento, Ca. or Reno, NV. , Copyright ©2005 James H. Armistead @ http://www.poetry.com
Donna, please don’t make sounds like Buckshot. I don’t mean that in a nasty way. To ask a question like "You’ve heard of i-pods, haven’t you?" implies that anyone who hasn’t heard of i-pods is an idiot. I’m not one, even though I haven’t any clue what an i-pod is.
If I asked you, "Haven’t you heard about rural gentrification?" the question would put you on the defensive, wouldn’t it? How about "extraordinary rendition?" Many intelligent people have gaps in their knowledge; most of mine are in high-tech.
If someone asks in good faith, "What is ______?" I think the polite thing to do is simply answer the question. Thanks for your consideration.
Oh dear Robert, I apologise most humbly. I hope you would realise from what I’ve written elsewhere that I don’t ever try to insult or patronise anyone, it’s very rare for me even to do it unintentionally and for me to do it to you of all people makes me extremely annoyed with myself. I really meant no such implication – and I need hardly add that I’ve sense enough to regard you (as no doubt everyone else does on this board) as one of the most intelligent people here.
The truth is that despite being surrounded by tech loving people myself I am a bit of a technophobe too and I’d only discovered what ipods were about six months ago myself. I realised once I’d quickly written and clicked on the first post that it didn’t sound as good as it could have (though I never realised til now just how bad it must have sounded) but I did know it was a bit abrupt which is why I included the second making light of it. If I’d fully read it again and realised the effect I’d have apologised then.
Forgive me for my thoughtlessness.
Top of the evening Brad, WP and fellow Patriots! It’s time for another remarkable BRAD SHOW, RAW Radio Saturday night!
This is my open letter to Farhad Manjoo of Salon, after reading his hit piece on RFK, Jr.
Dear Farhad,
In your “No Exit” piece (6/15/2005) you linked to a summary of my DU posts.
http://dir.salon.com/story/news...lls/index.html
Here’s a more complete, up-to-date, compilation of my pre-election state and national models, which forecast the Kerry 2-party vote (51.6-51.8%). Also included are over 100 pre-election and exit poll analytic threads. If you read the replies, you’ll see how the arguments of responding naysayers and trolls were debunked virtually every time.
http://www.geocities.com/electi...thIsAllPDF.pdf
I should have responded to “No Exit” a year ago. But since you have continued your crusade against “fraudsters” with your thrashing of RFK’s Rolling Stone article, now it’s my turn. The pathetic rebuttal to RFK came exactly one year after “No Exit”. in which you claim that “expert” sources debunked USCV and the “fraudsters”. Quite the contrary; they’re down to their last-ditch hypothesis (“false recall”). They are still trying to spread the fiction that the pre-election and early exit polls were wrong; that Bush won the popular vote by a 3 million “mandate”. In so doing, they imply that the FINAL National Exit and state exit polls, which were matched to the “recorded” vote, are correct. Based on the mathematical proof below, you will see why the FINAL NEP is IMPOSSIBLE and OVERSTATES the Bush vote by AT LEAST 4 MILLION.
THE MARGIN OF ERROR
You make the fallacious statement that there is no real significance to the 3% deviation from Kerry winning by 51-48% in the National Exit poll to the Bush recorded 51-48% win. That statement alone exposed your lack of understanding of the “margin of error” and mathematical probability. The 1.1% MoE (assuming a 30% cluster effect; 13,047 respondents) means that the 3% deviation is extremely significant. It’s almost 6 standard deviations from the sample mean.
Let’s calculate the probability of the deviation:
Prob = 1-NORMDIST(0.51,0.48,0.011/1.96,TRUE) =2.05809E-09
or 1 in 485,887,838
THE REAL EXPERTS
It’s apparent to many that your analysis is full of holes. You say that an “amateur mathematician” proved Ron Baiman, Kathy Dopp, Steve Freeman, myself and other analysts wrong. Really? On DU, we have won every online debate with that tag-team naysayer duo from Bard College and Britain. Baiman and Freeman, both PHDs, have had extensive, real world analytical experience. Dopp has a masters degree in mathematics. Their expertise is reflected in the quality of their published work on the Stolen Election. I’m NOT an amateur mathematician. I have two MS degrees in applied mathematics and have been developing financial, investment and engineering models long before you were born. What are YOUR academic credentials? What makes you an expert in polling analysis?
2.5 MILLION SPOILED DEMOCRATIC VOTES
It’s a FACT that over 3 million votes (the great majority Democratic) are spoiled and never counted in every election? In 2004, 3.6mm votes were lost – just check the Census. I’m sure you would agree that Bush stole the 2000 election, despite having lost by 540,000 votes, 51-50.5mm. Add 75% of the 3 million spoiled votes to Gore and it’s clear that he actually won by 2 million.
13 MILLION NEW BUSH VOTERS?
In 2004, the Bush recorded win was 62-59 million. Where did he gain over 13 million new votes (1.75mm Bush 2000 voters died before 2004) to go from 49mm to 62mm? Kerry won between 54% to 61% of those who did not vote in 2000 (depending on the exit poll timeline) and over 70% of 3 million Nader voters.
CONFIRMATION: rBr IS DEAD.
Manjoo, I’ve got news for you; rBr is dead. You call the Reluctant Bush Responder theory persuasive, but it was debunked before you even wrote “No Exit”. The Exit Poll Response Optimizer (July 2005) confirmed the USCV simulation model. They both refuted rBr.
Here is the Optimizer analysis: http://www.progressiveindepende...8;topic_id=574
THE EXIT POLLS WE WERE NOT SUPPOSED TO SEE
Many voters went to sleep on election night assuming Kerry won. Jonathan Simon stayed up long enough to spot and download the 12:22am state exit polls. Luckily for us, The Washington Post chose not to delete the corresponding National Exit Poll (13047 respondents at 12:22am) which showed Kerry the 51-48% winner. We also have the earlier NEP timelines at 4pm (8349 respondents) and 7:30pm (11027 respondents) which established the 51-48% Kerry trend. He held the lead until the Final National Exit Poll (13660 respondents), when the numbers magically reverted to a 51-48% Bush win. The numbers (weights and vote shares) were revised to match the vote.
THE IMPOSSIBLE FINAL EXIT POLL
According to the Final National Exit poll, 43% of the 122.3 million who voted in 2004 were Bush 2000 voters and 37% were Gore voters. These weightings in and of themselves debunk rBr. Now 43% of 122.3 is 52.57 million. And since Bush only got 50.5mm votes in 2000, and about 1.75mm died, only 48.7mm (39.8%) could have returned to vote in 2004, so the 43% Final NEP weighting was mathematically impossible. The Bush vote was inflated by 4 million. I have just shown that the Final Poll at 1:25pm on Nov.3 is bogus and that the earlier 12:22am numbers are close to the truth.
Here’s proof that the Final NEP weights are impossible.
http://www.geocities.com/electi...gusWeights.htm
Here’s the National Exit Poll Timeline. Notice the smooth trend in the first three timelines (4pm,7:38pm,12:22am). Compare it to the discontinuous Bush jump in ALL the demographic weights and/or vote shares in the Final NEP.
http://www.progressiveindepende...;topic_id=3037
REINCARNATED BUSH VOTERS?
We have proved that the Final NEP weights were mathematically impossible – unless you believe that 4 million Bush voters were reincarnated. Simple logic tells us that if the Final Exit poll was matched to the Bush recorded vote and was overstated by at least 4 million, then the Bush recorded vote must also have been overstated by at least 4 million.
If you read my related posts, you would already know all this. But since you never mentioned them in your article, one can assume that a) you never read the posts, or b) you read them but chose not to discuss them. If it’s (a), why didn’t you? If it’s (b), why didn’t you? An impartial journalist seeking the truth would have.
NEP or rBr: NAYSAYER HOBSON’S CHOICE
http://www.democraticundergroun...03×380085
Which do you believe: the Final NEP or rBr? You can’t have both.
They are MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE.
THE CLINCHER
You MUST read the “CLINCHER” thread. Kerry wins all plausible scenarios of 2000 voter turnout in 2004, assuming 100% Bush voter turnout and declining Gore voter turnout (from 100% to 70%) over a range of NEP Kerry vote shares (51-60%) of those who did not vote in 2000.
http://www.progressiveindepende...;topic_id=1445
THE GAME
As far as the myth of “false voter recall” is concerned, I suggest you read the “GAME” thread. The Bard College professor’s implausible explanation to explain the 3 million Bush “victory” margin (that almost one of 6 Gore voters defected to Bush in 2004 while just one of 16 Bush voters defected to Kerry) requires a leap of faith beyond the pale; the odds against it are astronomical. It’s the naysayer’s last stand. Their case against the “pristine” exit polls is in its “final throes”, having been reduced to a totally implausible hypothesis. Farhad, ask yourself who you voted for in 2004 and 2000. Or did you forget?
http://www.democraticundergroun...03×390193
PRE-ELECTION AND EXIT POLL SIMULATIONS
You say you want a simulation? Well, you know…
We’re doing the best we can.
http://www.geocities.com/electi...5_image001.png
THE NEP TIMELINE – A TRAGEDY IN FOUR ACTS
11/2/04, 3:59pm 8349 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
11/2/04, 7:33pm 11027 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
11/3/04, 12:22am 13047 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
11/3/04, 1:25pm 13660 respondents: Kerry 48-Bush 51
THE VILLAINS
Oh, sure, you will probably say: they matched the final exit poll to the vote. They do it all the time. Yes, Farhad, they do, even when the vote is corrupted. How come you never entertained the possibility that the votes were scammed? Or do you trust Bush/Rove to do the right thing and not try to steal the election? Remember Katherine Harris/ Jeb Bush in Florida 2000? Remember Ken Blackwell in Ohio 2004? Remember WMDs, mushroom clouds, Bush reading “My Pet Goat” on 911, domestic spying, torture, stem cells, Diebold, black disenfranchisement, spoiled votes, hacked voting machines, Hava bribes, Plame, the Aug.6, 2001 PDB, clearing Crawford brush…
THE RATIONALISTS
These are just a few of those who believe that the election was stolen: RFK Jr., John Conyers, Mark Miller, Robert Koehler, Michael Keefer, Thom Hartmann, Jim Lampley, Greg Palast, Bob Herbert, Steve Freeman, Kathy Dopp, Wayne Madsen, Ron Baiman, pollsters Harris and Zogby. Over 50% of the public believe that the election was stolen – and the percentage is growing daily. In fact, all the cable networks ran polls (except for Fox) which showed that a majority of viewers believe Bush stole it: http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0605/S00200.htm
THE WIMPS
Of course, we still have spineless Democratic politicians who dare not call it “fraud”. And that includes wannabee Al Franken. Well, at least Mike Malloy and Randi Rhodes are not afraid to talk about the stolen election. Unlike Al, they have no plans to run for office.
MATHEMATICS
Just curious. What is your math background? Specifically, statistical voting trends, polling mathematics, probability theory, Monte Carlo simulation? If you can’t follow the math or logic in my posts, don’t feel bad – the Mystery Pollster didn’t either. You will learn the basics if you download and run the Interactive Election and Monte Carlo polling simulation models. Do you have Excel? Here’s an intro to polling simulation and statistics:
http://www.geocities.com/electi...Simulation.mht
Link to all of my posts and models at: http://www.truthisall.net
View my recent posts here:
http://www.progressiveindepende...#038;forum=120
THE SMOKING GUN
Finally, I suggest you consider the following in your next piece:
Considering that Gore won in 2000 by over 540,000 votes and that
1) Kerry won a solid majority of new voters (57-41%) and that
2) he also won a large majority of Nader voters (71-21%) and
3) at most 49.2mm Gore and 48.7mm Bush voters turned out in 2004,
then the discussion should end right here because… assuming a 95% turnout of Gore and Bush voters, Bush needed 19.5% OF GORE VOTERS TO WIN BY 3 MILLION VOTES.
ARE WE EXPECTED TO BELIEVE THAT ALMOST ONE OUT OF FIVE GORE VOTERS DECIDED TO FORGIVE BUSH FOR STEALING ELECTION 2000? OK, FORGIVE. BUT VOTE FOR HIM?
AT THE 12:28AM NEP TIMELINE, BUSH WON 8% OF GORE VOTERS. IN THE FINAL, 10%.
________________________
12:22am (13047 respondents)
Assume 95% turnout of Gore and Bush voters
Bush winning margin: 3.1mm
VOTED IN 2000
Percentage Votes in Millions
Weight Votes Kerry Bush Other Kerry Bush Other
No 21.59% 26.37 57% 41% 2% 15.0 10.8 0.5
Gore 38.27% 46.75 80% 19.5% 0.5% 37.4 9.1 0.2
Bush 37.86% 46.26 10% 90% 0% 4.6 41.6 0.0
Nader 2.28% 2.79 71% 21% 8% 2.0 0.6 0.2
Total 100% 122.2 48.3% 50.9% 0.8% 59.0 62.1 1.0
If we assume a 2% MoE, the chances are LESS THAN ONE IN 1.5 QUADRILLION THAT BUSH WOULD GET 16% OF GORE VOTERS!
PROB = 1- NORMDIST(0.16,0..08,0.01,TRUE)
or 1 in 1,501,199,875,790,170
THE NORMDIST FUNCTION COULD NOT PERFORM THE CALCULATION FOR 19%.
IT GENERATED A DIVISION BY ZERO ERROR.
THE PROBABILITY IS AT THE VANISHING POINT!
___________________________
Based on the 12:22am exit poll vote shares and mathematically feasible weightings, Kerry won by over 7 MILLION VOTES!
VOTED IN 2000
Percentage Votes in Millions
Weight Votes Kerry Bush Other Kerry Bush Other
No 21.59% 26.37 57% 41% 2% 15.0 10.8 0.5
Gore 38.27% 46.75 91% 8% 1% 42.5 3.7 0.5
Bush 37.86% 46.26 10% 90% 0% 4.6 41.6 0.0
Nader 2.28% 2.79 71% 21% 8% 2.0 0.6 0.2
Total 100% 122.2 52.4% 46.6% 1.0% 64.2 56.8 1.2
Kerry margin: 7.4mm
______________________
Farhad, I look forward to your next piece. Just be sure to discuss the analysis mentioned above. If you want to try to debunk it, be my guest.
Best,
TruthIsAll