Today on The BradCast: On January 6, 2021, Donald Trump and his democracy-hating supporters hoped to exploit the vagaries of the horribly written Electoral Count Act (ECA) of 1887 — along with several vagaries of the U.S. Constitution itself — to try and steal the 2020 President election during the joint session of Congress meant to affirm the state certified results of the Electoral College. Now, there is an ongoing bipartisan effort in Congress to modernize and reform the ECA to prevent a similar nightmare in 2024 or beyond. But will even that reform, if successfully adopted, be able to prevent a political party from acting in bad faith to steal a Presidential election in plain sight in the future? [Audio link to full show is posted below this summary.]
But, first up today, before we get to the ECA, Democrats are down to just 49 voting members of the Senate at the moment, after New Mexico’s 49-year old Senator Ben Ray Luján, his office announced on Tuesday, has been hospitalized with a stroke after experiencing dizziness and fatigue last week. The statement suggests a full recovery is expected, even as the incident serves as a reminder of the Party’s tenuous 50-vote majority in the Senate…as long as everyone is well and Vice President Kamala Harris is there to break any ties. Dems seem to think that Luján will recover in time to support Joe Biden’s eventual nominee to fill the Supreme Court seat being vacated by the retiring Justice Stephen Breyer in June.
Also, speaking of the U.S. Senate, we’ve got a minor update on the landmark Build Back Better proposal that had served for months last year as the $1.7 trillion centerpiece of President Biden’s agenda: Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) says that “it’s dead”. That, after he killed it at the end of last year following months of negotiations and citing several ridiculous reasons. And while Democrats are hopefully they may still be able to pass Manchin-approved chunks of the bill in the future, I remain dubious that Manchin — whose family rakes in millions from their coal business, supplying just one single coal plant with waste coal in West Virginia — will ever allow the measure’s critical $555 billion in environmental spending to help tackle climate change to be adopted.
Manchin spent months last year pretending to negotiate “in good faith” on the bill, even claiming repeatedly to support its climate provisions which incentivize the nation’s power plants to move from dirty fossil fuels to clean, renewable energy. Even in recent days, Democrats have repeated the notion that Manchin supports at least those provisions of the sweeping measure that would have also expanded healthcare, education, child care, elder care and much more. But if you believe Manchin supports BBB’s environmental initiatives, I’ve got a coal-fired power plant in West Virginia to sell ya. Of course, I hope to be wrong. But I haven’t been, so far, on this matter unfortunately.
Next, it’s on to the ridiculously written Electoral Count Act (ECA) which was adopted, as our guest today, GRACE PANETTA of Business Insider detailed in her deep-dive report this week, “following the disputed 1876 election between Samuel Tilden and Rutherford B. Hayes, which was marred by allegations of fraud and the disenfranchisement of Black voters.” The ECA was passed at the time to help clarify certain aspects of the U.S. Constitution’s mandated 12th Amendment process for counting and determining the eligibility of Electoral College votes. But it is so vaguely written — Panetta cites an ECA scholar who notes that “many of its substantive rules are set out in a single sentence that is 275 words long” — that Trump and his corrupt team of advisors were able to claim that the ECA allowed for Vice President Pence to pretty much name anybody he liked as the winner of the 2020 election during the joint session of Congress on January 6th.
This week, several coalitions in the Senate — one, a group of three Democrats; the other, a bipartisan group of 16 Senators including nine Republicans — are working to rewrite the measure in hopes of both clarifying it and preventing it from being exploited to steal a Presidential election. At least in theory.
As I’ve discussed on several shows of late, I often go to bed at night pondering the many ways that a political party prepared to act in bad faith — in this case, Republicans — can quite easily steal a Presidential election via the Electoral College with literally nothing more than norms, traditions and good faith to stop them. That’s a fact, no matter what happens at the precinct level in each state, no matter who is and isn’t allowed to vote, and no matter how those votes may be tallied. A party acting in concert in bad faith can steal an American Presidential election and there is little if anything in current law or the Constitution to prevent it.
Moreover, depending on how the ECA is rewritten — if Republicans allow such a rewrite to be passed in both chambers and signed by the President — it may still leave the door open for a rogue state legislature or even a single Governor acting in bad faith to steal an election, in what one ECA expert that Panetta cites describes as “the Swing State Governor’s Gambit”.
Panetta, a senior politics reporter at Insider, joins us from the Senate Gallery today to explain what the ECA is supposed to do; how Trump attempted to abuse it to steal the 2020 election; how reform can hopefully prevent that from happening in the future; and what the chances currently are that this new reform movement in the Senate will be successful.
She also makes clear — in response to Trump’s idiotic statement (admission?) on Sunday, claiming Pence had “the right to change the outcome” of the election — that “the ECA does NOT give the Vice President the authority to unilaterally decide which electoral votes to count or not.”
“The ECA as it exists, in its imperfect, flawed form, does NOT give the Vice President this authority,” Panetta reiterates. “At the same time, however, I think what both the bipartisan group and another trio of Democratic Senators who introduced an ECA reform bill yesterday are trying to do is even more clearly state, clearly clarify in 21st-century language, that single slates of electors sent to Congress should be treated as final and the Vice President really has no role to adjudicate this.”
Right now, she warns, “the groundwork is being laid at the state level for state officials — like Governors, like Secretaries of State — to overturn elections. In short, a Governor could submit an illegitimate slate of electors that does not reflect the popular vote in the state, and candidates could try in federal court to compel a Governor to send the correct slate, but that’s no guarantee that that would fully work.” So, yes, getting ECA reform right is now more critical than ever.
Finally today, some good news — at least as I see it. New York‘s legislature has approved a new Congressional map for the state that will most likely add three additional Democratic members of Congress from the Empire State. New York Republicans are hopping mad about what they describe as an outrageous partisan gerrymander by Democrats. Ya know, just like the even more egregious ones being carried out by Republicans in GOP-controlled states like Ohio, North Carolina and Texas, where population growth was due almost entirely to minority voters, and yet state Republicans removed minority voting districts to add GOP seats. While I certainly would have opposed such efforts by Dems in the past (many redistricting experts still do), given the efforts right now by Republicans to undermine American democracy itself, I’m just fine with what NY is doing. If Republicans oppose it, they can (and should!) take it to court. Unfortunately, they won’t be able to take it to federal court, because their own stolen and packed U.S. Supreme Court majority recently declared that federal courts may play no part in adjudicating partisan state gerrymanders. SAD!…
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