Today on The BradCast: As of this past weekend, the news was much better than expected regarded this decade’s round of redistricting around the country. That may have changed in a heartbeat on Monday evening with another horrible “Shadow Docket” ruling from the Republicans’ stolen and packed U.S. Supreme Court. [Audio link to full show is posted below this summary.]
But, before we get there today, one additional point on a topic discussed in detail on yesterday’s show. We noted that the GOP appears to be eating itself alive, with Trump attacking Pence for not helping him steal the 2020 election, Pence (gently, but finally) pushing back at Trump, and the RNC, at its Winter Meeting last week in Utah, voting to censure its own Reps. Liz Cheney (R-WY) and Adam Kingzinger (R-IL) for daring to join in the probe of the deadly, January 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol, which the RNC’s resolution described as nothing more than “legitimate political discourse”.
At the same time, the economy is booming at record numbers under President Biden and Democratic control of Congress. So, given all of that, we asked yesterday why Democrats are thought to be in so much trouble this November? We placed a lot of blame on the corporate media for their often ridiculous, lazy, sometimes out-and-out inaccurate, double-standard coverage of Biden and the Dems. Most notably, as we’ve been shouting here for months, on the economy, with last year’s 6.6 million new jobs simply blowing away all previous Presidents in U.S. history, not to mention the lowest unemployment and highest growth in GDP since the 1980s.
Among the many failures of the corporate media is their reporting on monthly jobs numbers from by the Bureau of Labor Statistics as “disappointing” (including numbers that, when they were even lower under Trump, were described as “robust” or even better). That, as the BLS has, almost every single month for the past year, revised previous monthly new job numbers upward by more than 100,000 and sometimes much much more. Well, the media did it again at the end of last year, when describing “disappointing” new jobs numbers in November and December. Both months, as expected, were revised upward last Friday by BLS, but were largely overlooked by the media. And yet these were no small adjustments!
November’s new jobs numbers were adjusted from 199,000 initially to 510,000! And the jobs gain revisions in December went from a “disappointing” 249,000 new jobs to 647,000 “” painting a much stronger picture of the labor market than reported over those months last year. If we knew the numbers would be revised upwards last year, with our huge BRAD BLOG World News Headquarters resources, why didn’t the corporate media report that appropriately at the time? Of course, they did know, but, for some reason, buried that information along with the record low unemployment numbers and record high GDP growth. Why? Decide as you see fit.
Next, the new decennial round of Congressional redistricting has been looking much better for Democrats (and American Democracy along with them), than previously predicted by experts in the run-up to drawing new maps following the 2020 Census. Last week, Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman even declared “Dems have taken the lead on” his group’s “2022 redistricting scorecard,” citing favorable state court rulings and other developments putting Democrats “on track to net 2-3 seats from new maps vs. old ones.”
Among the recent new developments, late last week North Carolina’s state Supreme Court found that the state’s GOP-created Congressional and state legislative maps were partisan gerrymanders in violation of their state Constitution. That ruling followed on a similar one from Ohio’s Supreme Court which found the same in the Buckeye State, leading them to order new maps as well. At the same time in New York, one of the few states where Democrats control the process for drawing new maps, three districts were drawn that are likely to flip “red” House seats to “blue” (which has outraged state Republicans, leading them to file a lawsuit against what they see as a “partisan gerrymander” in violation of the state Constitution, despite their party doing the same and much worse in a bunch of states where they control the redistricting process.)
And, all of that followed a recent ruling from a three-judge panel in federal court finding that Alabama Republicans violated Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act with their new House map that drew six White-majority districts and just one Black-majority district, even though Black voters in Alabama represent 27% of the electorate. The three federal judges — two of them Trump appointees — ordered a second Black-majority district to be drawn after a days-long trial, including more than a dozen expert witnesses. The three judges unanimously declared in their “meticulous” 225-page ruling [PDF] that “we do not regard the question … as a close one.”
Nonetheless, on Monday, in a stunning 5 to 4 ruling on the U.S. Supreme Court’s “Shadow Docket”, without any oral argument, etc., the rightwingers on the High Court stayed [PDF] the lower court’s ruling to allow the unlawful racial gerrymander to remain in place for the 2022 mid-terms and perhaps longer. Even Chief Justice John Roberts, who wrote the 2013 opinion that gutted the VRA’s critical Section 5 preclearance provision, voted with the Court’s liberals. But, Roberts’ vote was not enough. All of which tees up the Court, as expert fear, to gut Section 2 of the Act as well.
Since the Court’s 2013 decision all but killing Section 5 preclearance of new election laws in jurisdictions with a history of racial discrimination at the polling place, Republicans have claimed that there was always Section 2 that protected against laws with a discriminatory effect in all 50 states, though only after such laws went into effect. Now, experts worry that a full SCOTUS opinion after a hearing later this year on Alabama’s racial gerrymander may result in the Court further chopping away at Section 2.
We’re joined by one of those experts today. Common Cause’s National Redistricting Manager DAN VICUÑA is here to explain both the good news and, as of Monday, very troubling news on the latest round of redistricting, including what the new SCOTUS ruling is likely to mean moving forward, for Alabama, for other states, for the future of the VRA, and for American Democracy itself.
“I think there is within the conservative majority on the Supreme Court a sort of deep skepticism about the Voting Rights Act, which is one of the most effective pieces of legislation to turn back, fight back against our sordid history of racism,” Vicuña explains today. “It’s been incredibly effective in giving people of color the opportunity to make their voices heard in elections. I think the conservative majority — at least some of them — just don’t like it very much.” And that could be very bad news for American Democracy indeed.
Finally, Desi Doyen joins us for our latest Green News Report, with a boatload of both good and bad (mostly bad, as usual) news on our ever-worsening climate crisis emergency…
Gerrymandering is a game changer.