READER COMMENTS ON
"Democratic Challenger Claims Premature Victory in WI's District 21 State Senate Recall Election"
(25 Responses so far...)
COMMENT #1 [Permalink]
...
windwardtack
said on 6/6/2012 @ 11:12 am PT...
COMMENT #2 [Permalink]
...
Brad Friedman
said on 6/6/2012 @ 11:29 am PT...
WinwardTack - Would like to very much! Have been on road for past week and a half, and only back in the saddle in time for yesterday's Recalls. Have been keeping my eye on the LA outrage, and would love to give it some coverage as soon as I can find the oxygen to do it here.
Appreciate your comments with links, etc., and have been trying to keep up with them, even while on the road!
I wish I could clone me a few times. It'd be much easier!
COMMENT #3 [Permalink]
...
JimCT
said on 6/6/2012 @ 11:31 am PT...
Great idea. Let's hope the incumbent Republican INSISTS on a hand recount. Maybe they can verify the Gubernatorial count in those precincts as well. And lets wonder why if he doesn't.
COMMENT #4 [Permalink]
...
M. Moonhouse
said on 6/6/2012 @ 11:32 am PT...
It would be telling if the GOP candidate, Waangard, did NOT ask for a recount here, wouldn't it? And here is his statement this morning :
http://elections.wispolitics.com/
People across the state and country have asked that I immediately ask for a recount. However, we all know that the best decisions are made when well-rested and after consideration of all options,” Wanggaard said in a brief statement.
“We will closely monitor the canvass of votes with legal representation. We will evaluate our options regarding recounts following the official count of ballots.”
COMMENT #5 [Permalink]
...
WingnutSteve
said on 6/6/2012 @ 11:42 am PT...
COMMENT #6 [Permalink]
...
JimCT
said on 6/6/2012 @ 11:46 am PT...
Hopefully there will be some coverage at least locally of that convention. While I do not support Ron Paul it's pretty obvious the establishment end of the Republican Party has done everything in their power, including circumventing their own rules and ignoring votes to disenfranchise and shut out his supporters. Good for them for fighting back.
COMMENT #7 [Permalink]
...
janeofdane
said on 6/6/2012 @ 11:49 am PT...
COMMENT #8 [Permalink]
...
Joe in Syracuse
said on 6/6/2012 @ 12:21 pm PT...
Just saw a news clip of Repug robo-calling....i'm aghast!! Whoda thunk it???
COMMENT #9 [Permalink]
...
Joe in Syracuse
said on 6/6/2012 @ 12:25 pm PT...
At #4,
that was my exact thought when George Allen lost Virginia to Webb by less than 1%. Seeing as R's never concede anything it was curious to me why he didn't play the recount card, unless of course........
COMMENT #10 [Permalink]
...
Lottakatz
said on 6/6/2012 @ 12:47 pm PT...
Was Kathy Nicklous involved in the election in any way? That alone warrants a demand for a recount (hand count) of at least some of the ballots.
In general the Dems capitulate too quickly and in this case they should hold off until all the votes are in and there's time to determine whether any errors were made (people turned away, ballot totals that didn't add up etc.) that require a challenge. If Gore had dug in his heels in 2000... well, who knows?
COMMENT #11 [Permalink]
...
Ernest A. Canning
said on 6/6/2012 @ 1:18 pm PT...
One difference, Brad. Because the opt scan reported result in this instance entails a less than .5% difference, Van Wanggaard can request a "recount" (not a hand count) at taxpayer expense.
Also, while a court order would be required for a hand count, Van Wanggaard and John Lehman could stipulate to a court-ordered hand count, as the parties did in last year's Supreme Court race --- albeit, the stipulation in the Supreme Court race only entailed a limited number of the optical scanners.
COMMENT #12 [Permalink]
...
Dredd
said on 6/6/2012 @ 2:22 pm PT...
COMMENT #13 [Permalink]
...
John Washburn
said on 6/6/2012 @ 2:57 pm PT...
A reported vote difference of 779 of 71,731 reportedly cast is a differenc of 1.09%. Under Wisconsin recount rules the reported loser, Van Wangaard, would have to pay the full cost of the recount.
This is not likely to happen.
For the recount to be without charge to the candidate, the reported vote difference must narrow to 358.
Remember everything floating out on the AP wires and internet are unofficial vote totals. What matters are the official,canvassed vote totals to be reported later this week.
COMMENT #14 [Permalink]
...
John Washburn
said on 6/6/2012 @ 2:58 pm PT...
More precisely: what matters, for the calculation of who pays and how much, are the official,canvassed vote totals to be reported later this week
COMMENT #15 [Permalink]
...
Burkey
said on 6/6/2012 @ 3:32 pm PT...
That's fasssssssssssssssscinating that the Republican challenger isn't asking for a recount.
I mean, HELLO!!!
Thanks for giving me an alternative to bashing my head against the steering wheel in response to the msm idiocy.
COMMENT #16 [Permalink]
...
David Lasagna
said on 6/6/2012 @ 3:38 pm PT...
Brad?
Anybody?
Anyone have a clue as to why Nate Silver would say-
Exit polls have been highly accurate in every recent election except 1992, 1994, 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010.
--?
I'm pretty sure he's got a blind spot as far as acknowledging the possibility of outcome changing error or manipulation by the machines. That might help explain how he could interpret "official" results that differ from exit polls as "proof" that exit polls are unreliable. But his comment here goes back to before the widespread introduction of the current electronic machines and all the glaring discrepancies between exit polls and results that have arisen since, no?
Anybody got a clue?
COMMENT #17 [Permalink]
...
David Lasagna
said on 6/6/2012 @ 9:43 pm PT...
Well, myself @ 16, I'll take a stab at it.
I think the answer may be that there have been exit poll discrepancies in the past. So Nate Silver may have some truth on his side.
But I think it may also be true that when discrepancies DID occur prior to the 2000 election they were nowhere near the wild disparities between exit polls and results we started seeing then.
I believe that Germany uses exit polls, they are known to be reliable, and that before our 2000 election they were considered, with good reason, to be reliable here, also.
To sum up--I think Nate Silver has missed the mark on this one.
COMMENT #18 [Permalink]
...
Amy Sturdevant
said on 6/6/2012 @ 10:34 pm PT...
I just love the fact that even winning a recall is not enough for you damn Democrats!! Get over it!! Let these people serve their terms. Please go after Obama, he is the one causing serious damage to this country. George Bush was unpatriotic and unamerican for the debt he wrought on our nation. This according to Obama. Let me think here, wait, Obama has by far exceeded the spending of the Bush Administration. Let's try to get a good leader in the White House shall we. Let's leave the State's to their business as we here in Wi. aren't doing too bad.
COMMENT #19 [Permalink]
...
lmk
said on 6/7/2012 @ 4:05 am PT...
"Let me think here, wait, Obama has by far exceeded the spending of the Bush Administration."
That oft-repeated and always wrong line is like a code that identifies the hatewingers on the right. Obviously this person has not seen the chart showing how much of "Obama's debt" is actually "owned" by the GOBP.
COMMENT #20 [Permalink]
...
David Lasagna
said on 6/7/2012 @ 7:20 am PT...
Amy Sturdevant--
I just love the fact that you have no idea what a fact is. You're not paying attention. At this point you can not prove that Scott Walker won and I can not prove that he lost. If there was a reason to have any confidence in the outcome then you would be on a bit more solid footing with your gloating and chiding. But there is no reason to have confidence in these election results. That's why a few years ago the Germans, after trying our voting machines, rejected them. Please try to pay attention to something other than your own mantra.
Computer scientists tell us again and again these machines are error-prone and easy to manipulate. That is not the way we're supposed to conduct elections here. We're supposed to have confidence in the outcomes. If the declared outcome had gone the other way, you'd no doubt be thinking the election was stolen. We need to fix the voting process so that all sides can have confidence in the results.
If you have any interest in democracy, information on this vitally important subject can be found in abundance right here.
COMMENT #21 [Permalink]
...
Ernest A. Canning
said on 6/7/2012 @ 11:13 am PT...
From Kenosha News:
Republican state Sen. Van Wanggaard says he is still deciding whether to pursue a recount in his recall election that preliminary results show he lost to Democrat John Lehman by 779 votes.
COMMENT #22 [Permalink]
...
Randy D
said on 6/7/2012 @ 11:47 am PT...
@David Lasagna re: exit polls. If one starts from the ASSUMPTION that reported (but unverified) election results are accurate, then the conclusion follows that exit polls are inaccurate. Garbage in, garbage out.
Perhaps one day we will be able to test the hypotheses by comparing both the exit polls and the reported results against ACTUAL RESULTS (paper ballots counted publicly by hand).
As actual results by and large are never determined, the truth is that there is a discrepency between exit polls (in US elections, but not elsewhere) and reported results. And we don't know which are correct, because we don't both the check.
COMMENT #23 [Permalink]
...
Irwin Mainway
said on 6/7/2012 @ 12:03 pm PT...
TWO quotes from that extremist former Senate Majority Leader Fitzgerald, now co-Leader in a tied Senate:
1. The Democrats are desperate for any win to claim so they can do a victory dance.
2. Expressed shock that votes in Madison were still being counted at 11p.m.!
(Where were the federal marshalls to drag the commie-liberal corrupt poll workers away?)
Fitzgerald actually made a true statement!
Just IMAGINE if the proud Democrats of Wisconsin had not launched the first set of recalls - preening Scott Walker could right this minute call a Special Session to ram through Right-To-Work and even more disgusting giveaways to the very wealthy. He started with a 3 Senator majority don't forget.
COMMENT #24 [Permalink]
...
TomR
said on 6/8/2012 @ 8:03 am PT...
COMMENT #25 [Permalink]
...
Mannapat
said on 6/8/2012 @ 2:05 pm PT...
Of course, Walker doesn't want any hand re-counts, so it won't happen, But I think it's high time for a law that says there will be a hand re-count of one randomly chosen precinct in every district...to be video taped to the internet. If there is ANY DIFFERENCE between the hand re-count and the machine tally, then the entire precinct will be hand re-counted. If there is nothing wrong with the machine-tallied votes, Republicans should not object to such a law.