(Blogged by Brad from the road…)
Interesting numbers from the latest Zogby poll (Zogby being the “Official Pollster” for the BRAD BLOG seeing as how they were the only polling organization to get the last two Presidential elections almost exactly right.)
Currently, they’ve got Kerry over Bush in the head to heads 50% to 43%. When all the other nominees (Nader, Libertarians, Greens, etc.) are factored in, Kerry’s lead is 47% to 43%.
Those are national numbers, but as I’ve pointed out before, it’s the Battlegrounds that actually matter. Zogby’s previous battleground numbers showed Kerry leading in 13 out of 16 states.
There are a bunch of interesting numbers in the poll’s internals, so I suggest you check out the page linked above. Here’s a couple items of note that caught my eye:
“The two candidates are in a dead heat among self-identified members of the investor class – Kerry 45% to Bush’s 44%. Bush won this group by double digits in 2000. Not only has this group shrunk from almost half of all voters to only 31%, but Bush is now tied among a group he will need for victory.
“Bush leads among men 46% to 43%, while Kerry leads among women 50% to 39%….
“Big city voters favor Kerry 58% to 36%, as do Suburban voters 49% to 41%, while small city voters are with Bush 52% to 38%. Bush leads Kerry among rural voters 42% to 39%.”
I think it’s notable that voters without Passports prefer Bush. As you’ll recall, Bush had never spent a single day overseas until after becoming “President”. So it seems to make some sense that those who have no idea what the rest of the world is like would end up supporting Bush. As well, those in rural areas, who are similarly insular in the way they live their lives, also end up supporting the former Governor of Texas.
Gallup is the only poll that has Kerry down. Crack smoke much?
You are critisizing all of the people who live in the red states – be careful!!!!!!
Registered sex offenders prefer Kerry 98% while productive hard working American citizens prefer Bush 75%. What a bunch of crapola. The Kerry campaign took a real blow when my Sunday school class election gave Kerry only 2 more votes than Paul. Maybe Paul should consider running based on that. Sorry I just couldn’t pass it up. Guess that makes me another lying Republican.
Bush 27
Kerry 3
Undecided 2 (any undecideds are idiots at this point)
Paul 1 (thanks Dot)
Doesn’t make you another "lying Republican", Ed. But one who is — clearly — desperate enough to simply make up numbers to suit your needs.
Keep the head in the sand, though! Works out fine for us!
That was done only to show the utter ridiculousness of the whole process. Maybe enough liberals will see this and think "gee Kerry doesn’t need my vote". By the way I am not desperate even though you think I should be. I am confident Bush will win in November. Changing the subject, I will not be trying to dissuade the tree huggers of the great Northwest when I am up there. If I am asked I will reply "Oh is THIS an election year??"