Today on The BradCast: For years, we’ve called out the authoritarian petrostates working to block the fight against fossil fuels and our existential battle against climate change that has been exacerbated by them. Even as the U.S. has long been the world’s worst per capita emitter, I think today, under this particular President, is the first time we’ve had to include the U.S. government itself as one of those “authoritarian petrostates.” [Audio link to full show follows this summary.]
FIRST UP… It’s another win for New York Attorney General Letitia James against Donald Trump. As you know, she successfully oversaw several fraud cases (both civil and criminal), against him and his company in the Empire State last year. Since re-taking office, Trump has weaponized his Justice Dept. to try and exact his revenge against James. He continues to fail. Hilariously.
First he had to find someone willing to seek an indictment against James after his own U.S. Attorney in Virginia refused to do so. He appointed his personal insurance lawyer, Lindsey Halligan, to the job. She was able to obtain a grand jury indictment related to supposed mortgage fraud. But two weeks ago, a judge tossed out the indictment after finding Halligan was unlawfully serving as U.S. Attorney. Last week, Trump found a federal prosecutor from Missouri who was willing to re-indict James. But the grand jury rejected the indictment! (In an amusing side note, yesterday ProPublica found that Trump himself appears to have committed the very same “crime” that he has been trying to indict James for!)
Then, on Monday night, a federal judge in Massachusetts found in favor of a group of some 18 state Attorneys General, led by James, who had sued to block Trump’s “Day One” Executive Order shutting down virtually all wind farm projects on federal lands and waters. The EO was tossed out by the judge as “arbitrary and capricious” and a violation of U.S. law. James wins again! So do the residents of those states and all the rest of us who pay the price for dangerous, climate killing fossil fuel energy, rather than clean, cheap renewable energy like wind power.
SPEAKING OF PAYING THE PRICE FOR FOSSIL FUELS… The 30th annual U.N. Climate Summit (COP30) wrapped up in Brazil a couple of weeks ago. For the first time, the United States, under the Trump Administration, didn’t even bother to send a delegation. Ultimately, progress toward the world’s transition away from fossil fuels to meet the 10-year old Paris Climate Agreement targets — to keep temperatures from rising more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times — was stymied by fossil fuel industry lobbyists and authoritarian petrostates like Saudi Arabia, Russia and now, sadly, the U.S. The conference’s final statement, which must be agreed upon by all parties, did not even mention fossil fuels.
Today, as the European Union’s climate change service announced that 2025 would be either the second or third-hottest year ever recorded globally, after 2024 smashed all previous records, we are joined by one of the world’s premier climate scientists.
Dr. MICHAEL E. MANN is the Presidential Distinguished Professor of Earth & Environmental Science and Director of the Penn Center for Science, Sustainability and the Media at the University of Pennsylvania. He is a member of the group awarded the 2007 Nobel Peace Price, author of some 160 peer-reviewed and published papers, and of more than half a dozen books on climate science. His latest, with vaccine scientist Dr. Peter J. Hotez, is Science Under Siege: How to Fight the Five Most Powerful Forces That Threaten Our World.
Today, Mann joins us to share, among many related things, his thoughts on the disappointment of COP30 in Brazil, and how that “Bad COP” suggests that it may be time for a new format for the annual climate conferences. “The U.N. needs to show some backbone,” he urges today.
As to the U.S. under Republican/Trump rule, he tells me: “The problem is that you have a small number of bad actors, authoritarian petrostates, leading among them, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and now the United States. We have to view the United States as part of what I sometimes call the ‘Coalition of the Unwilling.’ A small number of fossil fuel-driven countries that are doing everything they can to block a global agreement.”
Mann warns, during our broad discussion, that the time for action to prevent the worst effects of climate change is now quickly running out. “It is sometimes said that ‘Nature bats last,'” he quips today. “The Earth’s system, the global climate, doesn’t care about the politics of fossil fuel countries, and the bickering between the petrostates and the rest. The climate system doesn’t care. It will continue to warm up as long as we burn fossil fuels. And all of these impacts will continue to get worse.”
“We have a finite budget, a finite amount of carbon that we can burn and keep the planet below 1.5 Celsius — for Americans, it’s 3 degrees Fahrenheit, basically — a level of warming beyond which we will see far worse consequences than we’ve already witnessed,” Mann explains. “We can actually calculate, with some uncertainty, how much carbon is left in that budget. The calculations show that three years of business as usual — if we don’t begin to ramp down those carbon emissions dramatically, if we just continue with business as usual for three or more years — then we burn through that budget.”
“What’s so tragic is if we had acted decades ago, if politicians around the world, governments around the world, had listened to the scientists decades ago, we could have fairly gently decarbonized our societal infrastructure. A fairly gentle reduction of carbon emissions, and a relatively slow, steady move away from fossil fuels towards renewable energy. We could have afforded that, if we had started acting decades ago. We can’t afford that now. We have got to undergo that transition in a matter of years. Right now, we are clearly not meeting the moment when it comes to these annual climate summits. Something’s gotta change.”
We also discuss his continuing feud with Microsoft founder turned philanthropist Bill Gates, who Mann charges with now spreading climate disinformation at an alarming rate by suggesting that somehow a ‘technological fix’ will be found to solve these problems; how climate scientist Mann found common ground with virus scientist Hotez to co-write their new book, Science Under Siege on “the Five Most Powerful Forces That Threaten Our World” (and what those forces now are); and how — and if — he remains optimistic that the world can overcome the quickly worsening climate challenges we now face with so little time left before impacts become irreversible.
“This is Tolkien-esque battle. It’s a battle not for Middle Earth, but for Earth itself,” he tells me, referencing the Lord of the Rings novels. “There are so clearly forces of good and evil that are involved. I think framing it in those terms can be helpful and clarifying. There’s a line…’There’s some good in this world, and it’s worth fighting for.’ It’s about fighting the good fight. Even if the odds don’t seem in your favor, and the forces against which you are fighting seem overwhelming, the only way you’re going to prevail is if you fight the good fight. And that’s what we’ve got to do.”
Tune in for much more worth hearing from Mann today…
The Mann thing: The Question Is: How Much Acceleration Is Involved In SLR? – 13
Dr. Mann says in his latest book (Science Under Siege):
(Actually he has been “armed” with that info for years as things get worse.
He has been too “don’t worry, be happy” for too long.way
Dr. AI said:
So, those who say “it;s gonna get bad” are in denial.