{"id":8544,"date":"2011-05-29T11:19:06","date_gmt":"2011-05-29T18:19:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bradblog.com\/?p=8544"},"modified":"2011-05-31T07:27:49","modified_gmt":"2011-05-31T14:27:49","slug":"without-immediate-drastic-measures-medicare-will-be-bankrupt-by-wait-for-it-1976","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/?p=8544","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;Without Immediate Drastic Measures, Medicare Will be Bankrupt by&#8230; (wait for it) &#8230; 1976!&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/BradBlog.com\/Images\/BankruptcyNextExit_med.jpg\" hspace=\"6\" vspace=\"3\" border=\"0\" align=\"right\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.healthbeatblog.com\/2011\/05\/the-medicare-crisis-a-shaggy-wolf-story-.html\">From Maggie Mahar at <i>Health Beat<\/i>&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"media\">You may have seen the&nbsp; headline: &#8220;DIRE FORECAST SPARKS NEW MEDICARE DEBATE TRUSTEES&#8217; REPORT USED AS FODDER FOR POLITICAL SALVOS BY BOTH SIDES,&#8221;\u009d but the date may come as a surprise:&nbsp; June 6, 1996.<\/p>\n<p>At the time, <a href=\"http:\/\/pqasb.pqarchiver.com\/chicagotribune\/access\/17168393.html?dids=17168393:17168393&amp;FMT=ABS&amp;FMTS=ABS:FT&amp;type=current&amp;date=Jun+06%2C+1996&amp;author=Carol+Jouzaitis%2C+Washington+Bureau.&amp;pub=Chicago+Tribune+%28pre-1997+Fulltext%29&amp;desc=DIRE+FORECAST+SPARKS+NEW+MEDICARE+DEBATE+TRUSTEES%27+REPORT+USED+AS+FODDER+FOR+POLITICAL+SALVOS+BY+BOTH+SIDES&amp;pqatl=google%20\" target=\"_blank\">the <em>Chicago Tribune<\/em> warned its readers<\/a>: &#8220;Medicare trustees reported Wednesday that the program&#8217;s financial outlook is getting worse, touching off a new round of debate over the future of the federal health insurance system for the elderly and disabled. According to the trustees, who give the program a fiscal checkup every year, the fund that pays Medicare hospital bills dipped into the red last year and will go broke in early 2001. That&#8217;s a year earlier than they predicted in 1995.&#8221;\u009d<\/p>\n<p>Sound familiar? How about these warnings:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chicago Tribune July 2, 1969<\/strong>: &#8220;The Medicare hospital trust fund faces bankruptcy by 1976 and taxes must either be raised or benefits reduced the senate finance committee was told today.&#8221;\u009d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Washington Post, April 1, 1986<\/strong>: &#8220;The Medicare hospital insurance program faces bankruptcy by 1996, two years earlier than projected last year.&#8221;\u009d<\/p>\n<p><strong>New York Times, January 20, 1985<\/strong>: In the last few years, when it appeared that the Medicare trust fund would run out of money in 1987-89&#8230; But the need seemed less urgent after the Congressional Budget Office issued new estimates last September indicating that the Medicare trust fund would not go bankrupt until 1994.<\/p>\n<p>(Hat tip to <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.chicagotribune.com\/news_columnists_ezorn\/2011\/05\/medicare-is-going-bankrupt-again.html\" target=\"_blank\"><em>Chicago Tribune<\/em> columnist Eric Zorn<\/a> who culled eighteen stories from the <em>Tribune<\/em>, the <em>Washington Post<\/em> and the <em>New York Times<\/em> over a period of four decades, each predicting that the Medicare Hospital Insurance Fund was teetering on the brink of disaster.)<\/p>\n<p>But of course Medicare didn&#8217;t &#8220;run out of money&#8221;\u009d in 1994, and it won&#8217;t go belly-up now, in large part thanks to health care reform legislation.&nbsp; According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the Affordable Care Act (ACA) raises and saves over $950 billion. (Below, I spell out how the legislation generates those dollars). In the process, as the Medicare Trustees&#8217; Report 2011 points out, the ACA reduces Medicare spending &#8220;by 25 percent&#8221;\u009d&#8221;\u201dwithout cutting health benefits, or shifting costs to seniors.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Our thanks to Digby for pointing us to the above in <a href=\"http:\/\/digbysblog.blogspot.com\/2011\/05\/blight-of-roundtable-worst-meet-press.html\">her article this afternoon<\/a> describing today&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/?p=8516\">as usual<\/a> right-leaning <i>Meet the Press<\/i> roundtable as &#8220;vapid&#8221; and &#8220;braindead&#8221; featuring just one of six panelists who &#8220;might not be called [conservative],&#8221; in a discussion &#8220;about the immediate deficit catastrophe&#8221; which, she believes, would likely cause &#8220;all elderly people [to be] extremely worried that they will be barred from going to the hospital next week because Medicare has gone belly up.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>She goes on to quote samples of the &#8220;verbal compost&#8221; of today&#8217;s roundtable discussion on NBC, adding &#8220;I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;ve ever had the misfortune to see a bigger load of pompous Villager pap and GOP propaganda in one place.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>If it&#8217;s Sunday&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Maggie Mahar at Health Beat&#8230; You may have seen the&nbsp; headline: &#8220;DIRE FORECAST SPARKS NEW MEDICARE DEBATE TRUSTEES&#8217; REPORT USED AS FODDER FOR POLITICAL SALVOS BY BOTH SIDES,&#8221;\u009d but the date may come as a surprise:&nbsp; June 6, 1996. At the time, the Chicago Tribune warned its readers: &#8220;Medicare trustees reported Wednesday that the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[288,46,188,23],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-8544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-health-care","category-mainstream-corporate-media","category-mainstream-media-failure","category-nbc","bb-type-bradblog"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8544","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8544"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8544\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8544"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcoauthors&post=8544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}