{"id":15576,"date":"2025-12-03T18:39:02","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T02:39:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/?p=15576"},"modified":"2025-12-03T18:51:03","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T02:51:03","slug":"a-flashing-red-light-warning-sign-for-the-gop-bradcast-1232025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/?p=15576","title":{"rendered":"A &#8216;Flashing Red Light Warning Sign&#8217; for the GOP: &#8216;BradCast&#8217; 12\/3\/2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/BradBlog.com\/Images\/BradCast_MikeJohnson-flag_120325.jpg\" hspace=\"6\" vspace=\"3\" border=\"0\" align=\"right\">Not that I hope to tip off our degenerate authoritarian oligarchy on today&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/BradBlog.com\/BradCast\"><i>BradCast<\/i><\/a>. But if the Republican Party still believes in math (and it&#8217;s unclear if they do), there was more very bad news for them in Tuesday&#8217;s elections this week. [<i>Audio link to full show follows this summary.<\/i>]\n<p>Unapologetically progressive Democratic candidate <b>Aftyn Behn<\/b> appears to have <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/tennessee-special-election-congress-van-epps-behn-246e101692e3dd002d43a4cdb467164b\">lost the Special Election race<\/a> for the U.S. House in <b>Tennessee<\/b>&#8216;s very &#8220;red&#8221;, GOP-gerrymandered 7th Congressional District to stalwart Trump Republican <b>Matt Van Epps<\/b> on Tuesday. Unofficial numbers suggest she lost by about 9 points.<\/p>\n<p>Sounds like a rout. But, in fact, it really wasn&#8217;t. Trump won the district last year by 22 points, meaning there was a 13 point shift toward Democrats on Tuesday, precisely the <i>average<\/i> shift that we have seen toward Dems in <i>all<\/i> of the Special Elections for U.S. House this year. There are 14 counties in TN&#8217;s 7th CD. Everyone of them shifted towards the left on Tuesday. That, after Republicans were forced to dump a <i>lot<\/i> of money into what should have been an easy contest on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>While House Speaker <b>Mike Johnson<\/b> <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ChadPergram\/status\/1996217114021998890\">pretended<\/a> not to be concerned about any of this &#8212; &#8220;They were really trying to set the scenario that there&#8217;s some sort of wave going on. There&#8217;s not. We just proved that there&#8217;s not.&#8221; &#8212; actual math really does suggest trouble ahead for the GOP in next year&#8217;s critical 2026 midterm cycle. <\/p>\n<p>With that average 13 point shift toward Democrats in special elections this year, we do a little bit of mathing on today&#8217;s show. For example, last year, in the 2024 U.S. House general elections&#8230;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>28 Republicans won their races by 10 percent or less.<\/li>\n<li>64 of them won by 12 points or less.<\/li>\n<li>And a whopping 92 Republicans won by just 15 percent or less last year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>With a razor-thin 3 vote advantage heading into the new year, no wonder several GOP-controlled states are attempting panicked mid-decade gerrymanders, and that the corrupt Republicans on the <b>U.S. Supreme Court<\/b> are <a href=\"https:\/\/slate.com\/news-and-politics\/2025\/10\/supreme-court-racist-racism-congress-gerrymandering.html\">likely to help them<\/a>. But new maps may ultimately make their problems worse, not better, if this year&#8217;s elections are any indication. Safe Republican districts made less safe with new gerrymanders to steal districts from Democratic voters may end up backfiring. Of course, I won&#8217;t dismiss Democrats&#8217; ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory between now and next year. But when Johnson says, &#8220;This doesn&#8217;t concern me at all,&#8221; he is either lying, in denial or incredibly stupid. And he&#8217;s not all that stupid.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is one of the biggest flashing red light warning signs we&#8217;ve seen yet for Republicans,&#8221; a far more realistic GOP strategist <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mattdizwhitlock\/status\/1996050113043558650\">observed<\/a> last night. Much more on today&#8217;s show. <\/p>\n<p>As if that&#8217;s not enough, in a stunning runoff election on Tuesday in <b>Georgia<\/b>, the Democratic candidate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/roswell-mayoral-election-georgia-results-11146935\">easily unseated<\/a> the incumbent Republican Mayor in the suburban city of Roswell, outside of Atlanta. She will be the previously deep &#8220;red&#8221; city&#8217;s first Democratic Mayor in nearly 30 years. But don&#8217;t worry, Mike. All&#8217;s well!<\/p>\n<p>Also today, our disgusting racist President said a whole bunch of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/donald-trump\/trump-calls-ilhan-omar-garbage-somalis-go-back-came-from-rcna247041\">disgusting racist things<\/a> at the White House on Tuesday about Somalia and the <b>American Somali<\/b> population in <b>Minnesota<\/b> and elsewhere, repeatedly describing them as &#8220;garbage&#8221;, &#8220;people who don&#8217;t work,&#8221; and people who should &#8220;go back to where they came from.&#8221; Where many of them came from is a war-torn nation in Africa, with thousands seeking refuge here in the 90s. Most of them are now American citizens, with many living in Minnesota, where Trump&#8217;s degenerate federal jack-booted immigration thugs will <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/minneapolis-st-paul-somalia-immigration-4c7468b0bdc6e23b510d4755c55b9294\">reportedly<\/a> be targeting them, specifically in the <b>Minneapolis-St. Paul<\/b> region, with upcoming raids. <\/p>\n<p>State Governor <b>Tim Walz<\/b> &#8212; who Trump last week <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/tim-walz-responds-to-donald-trump-calling-him-seriously-retarded-11123679\">described<\/a> as &#8220;retarded&#8221; &#8212; as well as the Minneapolis Mayor, its Chief of Police and many other officials and immigration advocates are vowing not to roll over to Trump&#8217;s racist immigration hooliganism. Similar raids are reportedly being <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/world\/new-orleans-federal-deployment-immigration-9.7001861\">launched<\/a> this week in New Orleans, where residents are also hoping to push back against Trump&#8217;s increasingly unpopular thuggery however they can.<\/p>\n<p>Finally today, Desi Doyen has <a href=\"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/?p=15574\">our latest <i>Green News Report<\/i><\/a> (after we had to preempt yesterday), with news on the end of disappointing U.N. climate talks in <b>Brazil<\/b>; the rising death toll following two simultaneous climate change-fueled typhoons in <b>Southeast Asia<\/b>; and the <b>Trump Administration<\/b>&#8216;s latest plans to pollute your air and poison your drinking water&#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\".\/Images\/Speaker_Icon_24.png\" style=\"width: 24px; float: none; vertical-align: middle;\"><span style=\"font-size: 18px; line-height: 18px;\"> <b><i><a href=\"https:\/\/BradBlog.com\/audio\/BradCast_BradFriedman-ElectionResultsTN7-RacistTrump-ImmigrationRaidsMN-NOLA_120325.mp3\">CLICK TO LISTEN OR DOWNLOAD SHOW!&#8230;<\/a><\/i><\/b><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><center><b>* * *<\/b><\/center><i>While we post <a href=\"https:\/\/BradBlog.com\/BradCast\"><\/i>The BradCast<i><\/a> here every day, and you can hear it across all of our great affiliate stations and websites, to automagically get new episodes as soon as they&#8217;re available sent right to your computer or personal device, subscribe for free at <a href=\"https:\/\/itunes.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/the-bradcast-w-brad-friedman\/id803467610\">iTunes<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pandora.com\/podcast\/the-bradcast-w-brad-friedman\/PC:1000025838\">Pandora<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/tunein.com\/radio\/The-BradCast-with-Brad-Friedman-p477565\/\">TuneIn<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iheart.com\/podcast\/256-the-bradcast-w-brad-friedm-30973643\/\">iHeart<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/The-BradCast-w-Brad-Friedman\/dp\/B08JJRN86R\/ref=sr_1_1\">Amazon<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/podcastgen\/bradcast\/feed.xml\">our native RSS feed<\/a>!<\/i><\/p>\n<p><!--BB-DONATEPITCH-START--><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#f5f0e0; border:2px solid #6b5a2e; border-radius:6px; padding:10px 14px; text-align:center; font-family:Georgia,serif;\"><span style=\"display:block; margin:0 0 8px 0; color:#3a2e0e; font-size:0.95em; line-height:1.5;\"><strong>The BRAD BLOG<\/strong>, <em>The BradCast<\/em> and <em>Green News Report<\/em> are all 100% independent and 100% listener and reader supported!<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/Donate\" style=\"display:inline-block; background:#6b5a2e; color:#ffffff; padding:6px 18px; border-radius:4px; font-weight:bold; text-decoration:none; font-family:Georgia,serif; font-size:0.9em;\">Please CLICK HERE to help support our work today!<\/a><\/div>\n<p><!--BB-DONATEPITCH-END--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Not that I hope to tip off our degenerate authoritarian oligarchy on today&#8217;s BradCast. But if the Republican Party still believes in math (and it&#8217;s unclear if they do), there was more very bad news for them in Tuesday&#8217;s elections this week. [Audio link to full show follows this summary.] Unapologetically progressive Democratic candidate Aftyn [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[192,89,675,543,299,479,1964,2053,548,72,1110,1129,1214,261,1738,477,1922,219,1052,111,1365,300,2059,401,1484,127,198,186],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-15576","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-accountability","category-media-appearance","category-bradcast","category-climate-change","category-democrats","category-donald-trump","category-election-2025","category-election-2026","category-extreme-weather","category-georgia","category-gerrymandering","category-ice","category-ilhan-omar","category-immigration","category-jd-vance","category-kpfk","category-mike-johnson","category-minnesota","category-new-orleans","category-new-york","category-pollution","category-republicans","category-somalia","category-thailand","category-tim-walz","category-the-constitution","category-us-house","category-united-nations"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15576","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15576"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15576\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15576"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15576"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15576"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcoauthors&post=15576"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}