{"id":143,"date":"2004-05-10T13:30:25","date_gmt":"2004-05-10T17:30:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.test.bradblog.com\/?p=143"},"modified":"2004-05-10T13:30:25","modified_gmt":"2004-05-10T17:30:25","slug":"zogby-calls-it-for-kerry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/?p=143","title":{"rendered":"Zogby calls it for Kerry"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>BRAD BLOG readers will know that I don&#8217;t put too much stock in most polls. But when it comes to Zogby, one must sit up and take notice as he&#8217;s been the <i>only<\/i> one to have called the last 3 or 4 major elections almost entirely correctly (even while <i>all<\/i> the other pollsters had gotten it entirely wrong).<\/p>\n<p>Based on his latest poll, John Zogby puts forth <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zogby.com\/news\/ReadNews825.html\" target=\"_blank\">four arguments to back up his prediction<\/a> now that &#8220;Kerry will win the election&#8221;, or at the very least &#8220;it&#8217;s John Kerry&#8217;s to lose&#8221;. His arguments for why this is so, are worth taking a look at. Particularly considering his excellent track record. (It&#8217;s also worth noting that his article is based on polls taken <i>before<\/i> the Prison Abuse Scandal broke.)<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s just one of his four arguments:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/BradBlog.com\/Images\/BushNervous.jpg\" hspace=\"6\" vspace=\"0\" align=\"right\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"media\">My most recent poll (April 12-15) shows bad re-election numbers for an incumbent President. Senator Kerry is leading 47% to 44% in a two-way race, and the candidates are tied at 45% in the three-way race with Ralph Nader. Significantly, only 44% feel that the country is headed in the right direction and only 43% believe that President Bush deserves to be re-elected &#8211; compared with 51% who say it is time for someone new.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BRAD BLOG readers will know that I don&#8217;t put too much stock in most polls. But when it comes to Zogby, one must sit up and take notice as he&#8217;s been the only one to have called the last 3 or 4 major elections almost entirely correctly (even while all the other pollsters had gotten [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","bb-type-bradblog"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=143"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=143"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=143"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=143"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bradblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcoauthors&post=143"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}